Showing posts with label Polls. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Polls. Show all posts
Wednesday, October 10, 2012
Polls For Wednesday October 10th
Loads of polls today..
The Florida one is very interesting considering Romney's recent gains there.
I'm not sure why they are polling some of the eastern states...seems like a waste of time to me.
The last two polls (post debate) from Ohio have the president up +4 and +1 so I'm hoping this silences the shrieking from the left.
Tuesday, October 09, 2012
Polls For Tuesday, October 9th
At first glance, this all looks like bad news for the president. Gallup has him down 2 points with Rasmussen having the race exactly tied. He's also lost some ground in North Carolina and Colorado. Remember that Gallup has now switched from "Registered Voters" to "Likely Voters" so now we can see that enthusiasm gap very, very clearly, favoring the Republicans.
But these are nationwide polls and if we look at a very key swing state like Ohio things look just about the same for the president since before the debate. The new Ohio poll from CNN (taken 10/5-10/8) shows the president up 51-47 with the ARG poll showing Romney up 48-47. The CNN poll is likely voters so that is very good news for the president.
And the president's approval rating has actually increased an overall net of 4 points and now stands at 53 percent. His favorables are still in the plus column while Romney's are still in the minus column. These numbers are now well after the debate which means...what, exactly? I guess I don't know for sure but it does mean not as much doom and gloom for the president because the head to head numbers don't fully reflect the jobs data release as much as the approval/favorable numbers.
One other thing to note here is the Senate picture still looks good for the Democrats. The fact that North Dakota is competitive is truly amazing and an excellent testament to being able to win in a deep red state if you are a good candidate like Heidi Heitkamp.
Monday, October 08, 2012
Polls For Monday, October 8th
A ton of new polls today and they make the election look even more muddy.
The two Gallup polls should be noted first as the one that is the tie is from the three days after the debate whole the one that shows the president 5 points ahead is a 7 day tracking poll.
I'm still stunned that both Rasmussen and Gallup have the president's approval rating above 50 percent. That makes no sense at considering the poor debate performance.
The battleground states look like they are still hanging in there for the president. Iowa, in particular, has been solid Obama for awhile now and with the latest being a Rasmussen poll, it's like more like +4 or +5 Obama because they don't figure in cel phone users.
The Pew Research Poll really shows the effects of the debate and the enthusiasm gap. The key to a decisive victory for the president is to get out the vote. He does that and he wins just be sheer demographics.
More Senate polls that show how it's nearly hopeless that the GOP is going to take back the Senate.
Sunday, October 07, 2012
Polls For Sunday, October 7th
Saturday, October 06, 2012
Polls For Saturday Oct 6th
So, these are the first real post debate polls and they make no sense to me. After the president's poor performance on Wednesday night, I expected Gallup to be dead even and Rasmussen to have Romney up by 4 (recall that Rasmussen does not poll cel phone users so their numbers and they sample more GOP so their numbers skew Republican).
Moreover, the approval rating for both Gallup and Rasmussen is still at 50 percent. I don't get it after how much he sucked at the debate.
Friday, October 05, 2012
Polls For Friday October 5th
Thursday, October 04, 2012
Post Debate Poll
Here's that CBS poll that everyone has been talking about taken right after the debate.
In the moments following the candidates' performances on the University of Denver stage, 46 percent of voters gave the economy-centric debate to Romney, 22 percent said they believed the president was the winner, and 32 percent called it a tie. More good news for the GOP nominee: 56 percent of those polled said they viewed Romney in a better light after watching the debate. Eleven percent said their opinion of him dropped, and 32 percent cited no change in opinion.
54 percent of the people said they thought the president won or it was a tie? Obviously, Romney won so what's the deal here? Remember, these are uncommitted voters and it seems to me that they aren't swayed by the types of arguments that both the right and the left think they will be swayed by.
In the moments following the candidates' performances on the University of Denver stage, 46 percent of voters gave the economy-centric debate to Romney, 22 percent said they believed the president was the winner, and 32 percent called it a tie. More good news for the GOP nominee: 56 percent of those polled said they viewed Romney in a better light after watching the debate. Eleven percent said their opinion of him dropped, and 32 percent cited no change in opinion.
54 percent of the people said they thought the president won or it was a tie? Obviously, Romney won so what's the deal here? Remember, these are uncommitted voters and it seems to me that they aren't swayed by the types of arguments that both the right and the left think they will be swayed by.
Polls For Thursday, October 4th
Here are today's polls, taken obviously before the debate last night. Take a look at Gallup's approval rating. The last time the president saw a number this high was August of 2009! This is even higher than Gallup's reading immediately following the death of Osama bin Laden (May of 2011). He still maintains a 4 point lead nationally in the general.
Well, he's going to need it come the weekend when we start seeing the post debate polls. Obviously, he's going to drop but by how much? Keep your eye on Ohio.
Well, he's going to need it come the weekend when we start seeing the post debate polls. Obviously, he's going to drop but by how much? Keep your eye on Ohio.
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