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Friday, June 05, 2015

No Hiatus

The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration has released a report saying that has been no hiatus in global warming after all. Scientists at the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration readjusted thousands of weather data points to account for different measuring techniques through the decades. Their calculations show that since 1998, the rate of warming is about the same as it has been since 1950: about two-tenths of a degree Fahrenheit a decade.

The so-called hiatus has been touted by non-scientists who reject mainstream climate science. Those claims have resonated; two years ago, the United Nation's Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change felt the need to explain why the Earth was not heating up as expected, listing such reasons as volcanic eruptions, reduced solar radiation and the oceans absorbing more heat.

"The reality is that there is no hiatus," said Tom Karl, director of the National Centers for Environmental Information in Asheville, North Carolina. He is the lead author of a study published Thursday in the peer-reviewed journal Science.

One key to claims of a hiatus is the start date: 1998. That year there was a big temperature spike; some of the following years were not as hot, though even hotter years followed in 2005, 2010 and 2014, according to NOAA, NASA and temperature records kept in England and Japan. This year is on pace to break last year's global heat record. The key here is this spike date which is exactly how the church of the climate deniers wordmith and right wing blog comment their way into some sort of an argument.

Remember, the linked report above is peer reviewed science (see: objective reality). The comments sections of a right wing blog is not (see: inferiority complex, envy of success and accomplishment).

Oh, and I had an email request to link this site again for those of you out there who want to torpedo the climate deniers with the detailed science. Click on the intermediate and advanced tabs and use that information in your next conversation. Witness the cognitive dissonance.

Remember, it feels like they are being physically attacked! 

2 comments:

Nikto said...

There never was a "hiatus," even in the original data. The data merely indicated that the rate of increase after 1998 was lower than the rate of increase before 1998. It was still getting warmer, just not as fast. Now we know that the rate of increase didn't really abate, something that scientists knew should be happening based on other data (like drastically reduced arctic sea ice coverage).

The original data always indicated 2000s were warmer than the 1990s, and the 2010s have been warmer than the 2000s. There have been a couple of hotter (1998) and colder years (2013 as I recall), but the long-term trend has been inexorably higher.

Anonymous said...

Scientists 'readjusted' their findings to align with their funding source. Must be legit.