I'm a Muslim, and I would like to report a crazy man threatening a woman on a stage in Missouri. #debate
Showing posts with label 2016 Election. Show all posts
Showing posts with label 2016 Election. Show all posts
Monday, October 10, 2016
Saturday, October 08, 2016
Boys Will Be Boys
Well, it looks like the Donald is in deep shit now! With the release of this video,
the GOP nominee's chances of becoming president have sunk to zero. Universal condemnations from fellow Republicans have rained down from everywhere over the last 24 hours. What amuses me about all of this is that they seem to be acting shocked. Is this really anything new from Trump? He's been like this all along and they have still supported him.
This video will probably be enough to turn Iowa back blue with all its evangelical voters. Arizona has been looking for an excuse to go blue as well lately. Given the likelihood that Trump won't drop out, a Hillary landslide, something that seemed implausible just a few weeks ago, now seems likely.
The best thing the GOP could do would be to dump Trump and have Pence be at the top of the ticket. Here's why that won't happen. I think that Paul Ryan, Mitch McConnell and other GOP leaders see an opportunity here to wrest control back from the short wave radio listener turned email forwarder turned blogger turned all social media believer crowd.
No doubt, the debate tomorrow night just got a whole lot more interesting. This is especially true given Trump's late night apology (see also: hostage) video in which he quickly shifted the blame to the Clinton...just like a good little conservative should:)
the GOP nominee's chances of becoming president have sunk to zero. Universal condemnations from fellow Republicans have rained down from everywhere over the last 24 hours. What amuses me about all of this is that they seem to be acting shocked. Is this really anything new from Trump? He's been like this all along and they have still supported him.
This video will probably be enough to turn Iowa back blue with all its evangelical voters. Arizona has been looking for an excuse to go blue as well lately. Given the likelihood that Trump won't drop out, a Hillary landslide, something that seemed implausible just a few weeks ago, now seems likely.
The best thing the GOP could do would be to dump Trump and have Pence be at the top of the ticket. Here's why that won't happen. I think that Paul Ryan, Mitch McConnell and other GOP leaders see an opportunity here to wrest control back from the short wave radio listener turned email forwarder turned blogger turned all social media believer crowd.
No doubt, the debate tomorrow night just got a whole lot more interesting. This is especially true given Trump's late night apology (see also: hostage) video in which he quickly shifted the blame to the Clinton...just like a good little conservative should:)
Friday, October 07, 2016
The Bubble of Self Referential Confirmation
I posted a question on Quora regarding the Trump supporters video I put up yesterday. There are really some great answers. The top one included this sentence.
Since they live in a bubble of self-referential confirmation, there can’t be substantial amounts of people who disagree.
A bubble of self referential confirmation...that pretty much explains every right wing blog which I have ever read. So, that's now going to become a tag for future posts regarding the right wing cocoon they have all ensconced themselves in.
The best answer to the question was this....
Amazing...if only more people inside the bubble of self referential confirmation had such a high level of reflective ability...
The problem with authority thing is also important to note. It's like they never got over...BEING AN ADOLESCENT.
Since they live in a bubble of self-referential confirmation, there can’t be substantial amounts of people who disagree.
A bubble of self referential confirmation...that pretty much explains every right wing blog which I have ever read. So, that's now going to become a tag for future posts regarding the right wing cocoon they have all ensconced themselves in.
The best answer to the question was this....
They seem to be the kind of people who are taught from a very early age not to trust authority figures. Of course, the funny thing is, it’s always authority figures that tell them this, but it they won’t see that disconnect or even think about the double standard. The intellectual, people with “book smarts” (“Ever met someone who was so smart they were stupid?” is a favorite tag line), are just as dangerous as “niggers and Jews”, even more so, because “they look like us”. Since they are so smart, they must be using them smarts to “get over on us”. Why do they believe that? Because it’s what they would do if they were smart!
I have had to do a little self analysis to understand this phenomenon. Back in the 7os, there was a rumor going around that Ray Kroc, head of McDonalds, tithed to the Church of Satan. Here is how I fell into the pit of repeating it:
It originated at church. I do not recall that it was started or spread by a pastor, but it was in the church environment that I heard it. I was a naive, devout 16–17 year old who thought that all the people who went to our church were just as devout and would never lie about something that important…or slanderous. If “so-and-so” said it, it must be true. This was pre-Internet, so there was no way to Google it and very hard to squelch such things.
I also found that when I repeated it to like-minded people, their response was almost universally also acceptance, wide-eyed, “You don’t say!” kind of acceptance. WOW! This FELT GOOD! I experienced a frisson of superiority and authority that I had never felt before. I KNEW a secret, and by repeating it, I was elevated through the ranks to the dizzying heights of “the Aware”. It’s an incredible ego boost. Here we were, ready and prepared to boycott Mickey Dees, and I was in the vanguard, leading the way…with the pitchforks and torches.
Word finally reached the office of the man himself, Ray Kroc, and I just so happened to read the paper containing his response. It was pitiful; the gist of it was, “Look, I don’t know where or how this rumor got started, but it’s not true! I’m a Presbyterian for cryin’ out loud!” (may have been Catholic or Episcopal or somesuch). I don’t wish to pat myself on the back, especially after admitting to be one of the purveyors of the vicious rumor, but I differ from the Trump-type conspiracy theorist in my ultimate response. I felt sick. I had slandered a perfectly innocent man, and for what? Christian virtue? An ego boost? A game? Pure gossip, which is wrong even if true if the intent is to hurt (unless it is public knowledge).
I wish someone had had the courage to ask a simple question from the beginning: “How do you know this is true? Are you really willing to potentially damage a person’s reputation based upon such an unfounded accusation?” I might not have taken part, especially since I was young and teachable, in spreading the rumor. As it was, I learned my lesson and learned it well. NO, I am not willing to risk ruining a person’s reputation with unfounded and scurrilous rumors. I refuse to “follow the crowd in doing evil” (“Do not spread false reports. Do not help a guilty person by being a malicious witness. Do not follow the crowd in doing wrong. When you give testimony in a lawsuit, do not pervert justice by siding with the crowd, and do not show favoritism to a poor person in a lawsuit.” Exodus 23:12) If anyone wants me to believe something, they damn well better have evidence to back it up.
Amazing...if only more people inside the bubble of self referential confirmation had such a high level of reflective ability...
The problem with authority thing is also important to note. It's like they never got over...BEING AN ADOLESCENT.
Thursday, October 06, 2016
Wednesday, October 05, 2016
Hump Day Roundup
I haven't commented much on a variety of developments in the 2016 presidential campaign so I thought I would have this post be a potpourri of various takes on the state of the race.
I thought Mike Pence did a better job than Tim Kaine last night in the VP debate. Kaine interrupted way too much and dodged questions, opting instead to fall back on canned talking points. He sounded very attack dogish at times and that may have been done to appeal to the base. Mike Pence and I have virtually nothing in common ideologically but clearly would be the better choice at the top of the ticket. If he were, Hillary would be in trouble.
Speaking of which, the Hilz has opened up a wider lead after Trump's insanely awful week last week. North Carolina and Florida are trending back in her favor. Here's my latest map.
Trump has to turn in a solid debate performance on Sunday night in order to make the race closer. He's certainly done it before but not with a night like the first debate in which 80-90 million people watched. Johnson supporters are falling away and most of their support is going to Hillary.
There could, of course be an October surprise. The short wave radio-email forward-right wing blogger-believer of all social media crowd thought it was going to originate from Julian Assange. Instead, he played them all like he always does. Will they ever learn?
William Weld has signaled that he has more or less had it with Gary Johnson. Here's why.
Gary Johnson is a fucking idiot and a shining example of how the libertarian (adolescent) mind works. Let's get the least qualified person for the job because we want to tear the adult world done with all their rules and stuff!!!
A lot my liberal friends are operating in the same reality (land of unicorns) where the right operate. They think that if Bernie was the nominee, he would be up 7000 points on Trump. How can Trump be so close, they ask? It must be Hillary!!
No....the problem isn't Hillary. The problem is that 40-45 million people in this country are die hard Republicans and will vote for anyone with an R next to their name. They are generally filled with anger, hate, and fear, viewing liberals as the cause of all that is evil and holy. If Bernie were the nominee, it would be just the same. They'd vilify him as an old, crazy socialist who wants to send everyone to reeducation camps. The race would be just as close.
Nikto put up a great piece about Trump's taxes and I don't have much to say about it. Some voters are going to be pissed that yet another rich guy didn't pay his taxes. But what Trump supporters and the right should be pissed about is how Trump took a billion dollar loss. How on earth can they still believe he would be effective at reducing government debt? He's clearly horrible at it in his own businesses and this was known before the taxes were released.
Chris Mooney continues to be proved right. It's all about emotion, not logic or rationality, when it comes to their reasoning process.
I thought Mike Pence did a better job than Tim Kaine last night in the VP debate. Kaine interrupted way too much and dodged questions, opting instead to fall back on canned talking points. He sounded very attack dogish at times and that may have been done to appeal to the base. Mike Pence and I have virtually nothing in common ideologically but clearly would be the better choice at the top of the ticket. If he were, Hillary would be in trouble.
Speaking of which, the Hilz has opened up a wider lead after Trump's insanely awful week last week. North Carolina and Florida are trending back in her favor. Here's my latest map.
Click the map to create your own at Trump has to turn in a solid debate performance on Sunday night in order to make the race closer. He's certainly done it before but not with a night like the first debate in which 80-90 million people watched. Johnson supporters are falling away and most of their support is going to Hillary.
There could, of course be an October surprise. The short wave radio-email forward-right wing blogger-believer of all social media crowd thought it was going to originate from Julian Assange. Instead, he played them all like he always does. Will they ever learn?
William Weld has signaled that he has more or less had it with Gary Johnson. Here's why.
Gary Johnson is a fucking idiot and a shining example of how the libertarian (adolescent) mind works. Let's get the least qualified person for the job because we want to tear the adult world done with all their rules and stuff!!!
A lot my liberal friends are operating in the same reality (land of unicorns) where the right operate. They think that if Bernie was the nominee, he would be up 7000 points on Trump. How can Trump be so close, they ask? It must be Hillary!!
No....the problem isn't Hillary. The problem is that 40-45 million people in this country are die hard Republicans and will vote for anyone with an R next to their name. They are generally filled with anger, hate, and fear, viewing liberals as the cause of all that is evil and holy. If Bernie were the nominee, it would be just the same. They'd vilify him as an old, crazy socialist who wants to send everyone to reeducation camps. The race would be just as close.
Nikto put up a great piece about Trump's taxes and I don't have much to say about it. Some voters are going to be pissed that yet another rich guy didn't pay his taxes. But what Trump supporters and the right should be pissed about is how Trump took a billion dollar loss. How on earth can they still believe he would be effective at reducing government debt? He's clearly horrible at it in his own businesses and this was known before the taxes were released.
Chris Mooney continues to be proved right. It's all about emotion, not logic or rationality, when it comes to their reasoning process.
Tuesday, October 04, 2016
Kill Her!
Check this out
This is the Aurora, Indiana Lion's Club parade in which a gentlemen by the name of Frank Linkmeyer is putting on a mock execution of Hillary Clinton. Given the continual cries of "Lock her up," this comes as no surprise.
In the conservative mind, I'm sure this is all well and good. After all, Hillary is a criminal and a traitor. She doesn't even deserve her constitutional rights! Guilty until proven innocent....which will never happen.
What an angry, hate filled and fucked up world they live in...
This is the Aurora, Indiana Lion's Club parade in which a gentlemen by the name of Frank Linkmeyer is putting on a mock execution of Hillary Clinton. Given the continual cries of "Lock her up," this comes as no surprise.
In the conservative mind, I'm sure this is all well and good. After all, Hillary is a criminal and a traitor. She doesn't even deserve her constitutional rights! Guilty until proven innocent....which will never happen.
What an angry, hate filled and fucked up world they live in...
Monday, October 03, 2016
Saturday, October 01, 2016
It HAS to be Fraud
A recent poll from AP shows that half of Trump's supporters think that if their candidate loses, there will be fraud. It can't possibly be that their ideas are backward and hateful. There has to be cheating somehow. More than ever before, we are seeing a large block of US voters burying their heads in the sand and completely denying reality.
Gail Collins, a columnist for the New York Times, recently asked the question, "How can anyone vote for Trump?" I posted this piece on my Facebook feed and a friend responded with this comment.
I keep hearing about white male alienation, and how all the alienated white males are going to vote for Trump. But I wonder if the reason all these white males are alienated is because they’re stupid. If you’re so deluded that you think Trump is presidential material, maybe you should be alienated.
It’s possible that people alienate you because you’ve made bad decisions all your life, you didn’t get a decent education, you’re intellectually incurious and you can’t tell the difference between a slightly flawed, politically astute and highly prepared candidate and a man with a raccoon on his head whose campaign slogan is “No fat chicks."
Right, The real problem is THEM. It's not liberals, the media, the elite or voter fraud. They completely fail to look at how the choices they made in their lives are directly tied to their lot in life. Essentially, they aren't taking responsibility for their mistakes. Odd, considering they in the part of people who foam at the mouth of the lack of individual responsibility.
Here are a few pieces on the voter fraud myth for your reference.
Debunking the Voter Fraud Myth
The Success of the Voter Fraud Myth
THE MISLEADING MYTH OF VOTER FRAUD IN AMERICAN ELECTIONS
Gail Collins, a columnist for the New York Times, recently asked the question, "How can anyone vote for Trump?" I posted this piece on my Facebook feed and a friend responded with this comment.
I keep hearing about white male alienation, and how all the alienated white males are going to vote for Trump. But I wonder if the reason all these white males are alienated is because they’re stupid. If you’re so deluded that you think Trump is presidential material, maybe you should be alienated.
It’s possible that people alienate you because you’ve made bad decisions all your life, you didn’t get a decent education, you’re intellectually incurious and you can’t tell the difference between a slightly flawed, politically astute and highly prepared candidate and a man with a raccoon on his head whose campaign slogan is “No fat chicks."
Right, The real problem is THEM. It's not liberals, the media, the elite or voter fraud. They completely fail to look at how the choices they made in their lives are directly tied to their lot in life. Essentially, they aren't taking responsibility for their mistakes. Odd, considering they in the part of people who foam at the mouth of the lack of individual responsibility.
Here are a few pieces on the voter fraud myth for your reference.
Debunking the Voter Fraud Myth
The Success of the Voter Fraud Myth
THE MISLEADING MYTH OF VOTER FRAUD IN AMERICAN ELECTIONS
Friday, September 30, 2016
He Can't Sleep, Someone On The Internet Is Wrong
When I think of a right wing blogger or commenter, here's the first thing that comes to my mind...
Sums them up perfectly in many ways:)
So, it comes as no surprise that their current champion does the same fucking thing. Check out these tweets from Donald Trump.
Look at the times on them. What kind of a person is up this late obsessing over something so ridiculous? This is who 40 million people are supporting for our next commander in chief? Really?
Sums them up perfectly in many ways:)
So, it comes as no surprise that their current champion does the same fucking thing. Check out these tweets from Donald Trump.
Look at the times on them. What kind of a person is up this late obsessing over something so ridiculous? This is who 40 million people are supporting for our next commander in chief? Really?
Thursday, September 29, 2016
When Teenagers Run For President...
...this happens...
Where Trump represents the anger, hateful and fear filled bombast of the right wing blogger/commenter, Johnson represents the other part of that particular personality...zero command of facts....a spine made of jelly...unable to comport themselves in venues with live human beings.
A recent discussion on Facebook with a friend of mine who is a Johnson supporter informed me that he had no problem with this lack of knowledge. In fact, he thought it was a badge of honor because he doesn't have any respect for any world leader so why should he know their names?
More than anything else, this election has exposed a part of our electorate that merely wants to tear the whole playhouse done merely due to ideological spite. Like Mr. Johnson here, they don't care about knowledge or facts. They just want "Not Someone Who Threatens My Own Sense Of Self Worth" in office.
Where Trump represents the anger, hateful and fear filled bombast of the right wing blogger/commenter, Johnson represents the other part of that particular personality...zero command of facts....a spine made of jelly...unable to comport themselves in venues with live human beings.
A recent discussion on Facebook with a friend of mine who is a Johnson supporter informed me that he had no problem with this lack of knowledge. In fact, he thought it was a badge of honor because he doesn't have any respect for any world leader so why should he know their names?
More than anything else, this election has exposed a part of our electorate that merely wants to tear the whole playhouse done merely due to ideological spite. Like Mr. Johnson here, they don't care about knowledge or facts. They just want "Not Someone Who Threatens My Own Sense Of Self Worth" in office.
Tuesday, September 27, 2016
Good Words
From a question on Quora...
From Trump’s display last night I saw the following:
- A constantly repeated thesis that American is in the worst shape of its life, using hyperbolic phrases and words designed to intensify fear (“disaster,” “terrible,” “worst ever,” “tremendous”)
- Very little discussion of plans to fix this “disaster”
- A wide variety of bold faced lies as proven real time during the debate
- An inability and lack of humility to admit to mistakes or take any ownership
- An unapologetic admittance to dodging taxes and bragging that this is “smart”
- The inability to absorb the slightest insult (of which there will be MANY as president)
With Trump I see a textbook narcissist whose ego has a thirst many of us don’t understand. Becoming president, for him, is the ultimate win purely for the fame and title. This election is unlike any other, so my methods have had to adjust from how I’ve arrived at decisions in the past. So here we go, my first blue vote.
We welcome you with open arms.
Monday, September 26, 2016
The Right Wing Blogger Nominee Fucking Tanks
If you want to see how a right wing blogger and/or commenter would do on the big stage, check out the first debate between Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump.
Donald Trump was a complete fucking disaster tonight. His chest thumping over how little debate prep he did was incredibly foolish because he LOOKED LIKE A GUY WHO DIDN'T PREPARE AT ALL. His answers were the same style of incoherent rambling one would see in a blog comments section.
His remarks on national security were all over the place and should give even the most stalwart Republican pause. This is a guy we want running our country and keeping it safe? REALLY??!!
I posted a question on Quora regarding who won and the overwhelming response was Hillary Clinton. Check out the responses!
Donald Trump was a complete fucking disaster tonight. His chest thumping over how little debate prep he did was incredibly foolish because he LOOKED LIKE A GUY WHO DIDN'T PREPARE AT ALL. His answers were the same style of incoherent rambling one would see in a blog comments section.
His remarks on national security were all over the place and should give even the most stalwart Republican pause. This is a guy we want running our country and keeping it safe? REALLY??!!
I posted a question on Quora regarding who won and the overwhelming response was Hillary Clinton. Check out the responses!
Sunday, September 25, 2016
Completely Ridiculous
Of all the pre-game debate analyses out there, Ross Douthat has the best one. I've been watching with amusement at how most of the media has been pushing the narrative that if Trump simply shows up and doesn't foam at the mouth, he wins. Douthat agrees.
The eve of the first presidential debate is a good time for that exercise, because there’s been so much gaming-out of how Trump might ambush Hillary Clinton, how he might manage expectations well enough to make a poor performance look like victory, that it’s easy to lose sight of the core truth: It will be ridiculous if Donald Trump wins these debates.
Yes, it would. Consider that this is the first time he has stood one on one with an opponent and will now have to get into specifics on policy points. No doubt his current supporters won't care what he does up there (most of them, anyway) but the undecideds (largely white, college educated voters) will most definitely care. He's going to completely tank on many answers and leave the audience wondering exactly why he was nominated given that he knows so little. This works in the GOP primary crowd where having zero intellectual capacity is a crowning achievement. It doesn't work in a general election debate.
Despite recent tightening polls, Trump is still losing this race and here's why.
Trump won't win unless he improves on these numbers.
And, as Douthat notes in his final two paragraphs, this isn't anything new.
This is not a hot take. It is a cold take, a boring take, a take that assumes that the political world, even now, is still relatively rule-bound and predictable. And if I’m wrong, if Hillary manages to throw the debates and the election to Donald Trump, it will be the last such take I offer for many years to come.
I agree and will do the same.
The eve of the first presidential debate is a good time for that exercise, because there’s been so much gaming-out of how Trump might ambush Hillary Clinton, how he might manage expectations well enough to make a poor performance look like victory, that it’s easy to lose sight of the core truth: It will be ridiculous if Donald Trump wins these debates.
Yes, it would. Consider that this is the first time he has stood one on one with an opponent and will now have to get into specifics on policy points. No doubt his current supporters won't care what he does up there (most of them, anyway) but the undecideds (largely white, college educated voters) will most definitely care. He's going to completely tank on many answers and leave the audience wondering exactly why he was nominated given that he knows so little. This works in the GOP primary crowd where having zero intellectual capacity is a crowning achievement. It doesn't work in a general election debate.
Despite recent tightening polls, Trump is still losing this race and here's why.
Trump won't win unless he improves on these numbers.
And, as Douthat notes in his final two paragraphs, this isn't anything new.
This is not a hot take. It is a cold take, a boring take, a take that assumes that the political world, even now, is still relatively rule-bound and predictable. And if I’m wrong, if Hillary manages to throw the debates and the election to Donald Trump, it will be the last such take I offer for many years to come.
I agree and will do the same.
Friday, September 23, 2016
This Hillary!
This is the Hillary that should up at the debates. She was hilarious and perfect! BTW, she taped this two weeks ago when she had pneumonia...
Thursday, September 22, 2016
The Logic of Trump Voters
The next time a conservative peddles the bullshit line about how they are about facts/logic and liberals are about feelings, show them this.
And then remind them their nominee is Donald Trump...
Tuesday, September 20, 2016
Happily Dancing Into The Statism They Claim To Hate
I've spent quite a bit of time over the years having discussions with right wing bloggers and commenters. I've asserted many times in those conversations that these folks were closet authoritarians, secretly wanting the statism that they claim to hate. They obviously don't want it when someone who is not completely ideologically pure is in charge (see also: most of the country).
But, boy oh boy, do they want it when someone like Donald Trumps comes along.
Check out this video.
And then take a look at this.
The quote is from Donald Trump's son but it is an official campaign ad. It's pretty much identical to Nazi Julius Streicher's children's book, The Toadstool, in which a mother explains to a son how one Jew can destroy an entire people.
Looking at the video linked above...seeing all the people cheering...looking at just how many people are supporting Trump...it's clear that I was correct.
These people want statism. And they want it REALLY BAD.
Their adolescent rage over the "elites running everything" (wahhh wahhh....I'm not smart enough.....waaaa.....waaa.....) has led them to the same place that led Nazism to Germany....Fascism to Italy....Communism to Russia...
We all should have recognized this right away when they began accusing the rest of us of pulling our nation into communism or Nazism with our "liberal ways." Generally, when these assholes accuse you of doing something, they are the ones actually doing it.
So, as they happily vote for Donald Trump on November 8th because they want a rebel who will break up the system, recognize what system they are breaking up.
But, boy oh boy, do they want it when someone like Donald Trumps comes along.
Check out this video.
And then take a look at this.
The quote is from Donald Trump's son but it is an official campaign ad. It's pretty much identical to Nazi Julius Streicher's children's book, The Toadstool, in which a mother explains to a son how one Jew can destroy an entire people.
Looking at the video linked above...seeing all the people cheering...looking at just how many people are supporting Trump...it's clear that I was correct.
These people want statism. And they want it REALLY BAD.
Their adolescent rage over the "elites running everything" (wahhh wahhh....I'm not smart enough.....waaaa.....waaa.....) has led them to the same place that led Nazism to Germany....Fascism to Italy....Communism to Russia...
We all should have recognized this right away when they began accusing the rest of us of pulling our nation into communism or Nazism with our "liberal ways." Generally, when these assholes accuse you of doing something, they are the ones actually doing it.
So, as they happily vote for Donald Trump on November 8th because they want a rebel who will break up the system, recognize what system they are breaking up.
Monday, September 19, 2016
Anything Goes!
This recent post in the Times regarding Donald Trump's "anything goes" precedent he has set in campaigns points out many disturbing trends. There are many salient points in the article but Mr. Martin fails to adequately note that it's the people that want someone like Donald Trump.
These are the people that are firmly in the basket of deplorables, most of whom are likely beyond help. Take, for example, this guy.
We need to turn our backs on the elites, and he's the one who has emerged as the rebel leader in that cause.
Right. Because people that are more intelligent and accomplished than us (see also: adults) should be vilified at every turn. In fact, we should just burn the whole fucking house down and act like...what age level again?.....ADOLESCENTS.
The real danger isn't really Donald Trump. It's the 40 million people who are so lacking in emotional intelligence, maturity, and intellectual capacity that they would allow their own insecurities, inferior feelings, and constant thoughts of inadequacy that they would happily vote for a sociopath for president. Are they that reckless? Are they that catty and bitchy about Hillary Clinton? Do they really understand what's at stake here? Any of you out there who has had to deal with teenagers know the answers to all these questions.
At least the media is finally waking up to the fact that they have been way too easy on Donald Trump.
These are the people that are firmly in the basket of deplorables, most of whom are likely beyond help. Take, for example, this guy.
We need to turn our backs on the elites, and he's the one who has emerged as the rebel leader in that cause.
Right. Because people that are more intelligent and accomplished than us (see also: adults) should be vilified at every turn. In fact, we should just burn the whole fucking house down and act like...what age level again?.....ADOLESCENTS.
The real danger isn't really Donald Trump. It's the 40 million people who are so lacking in emotional intelligence, maturity, and intellectual capacity that they would allow their own insecurities, inferior feelings, and constant thoughts of inadequacy that they would happily vote for a sociopath for president. Are they that reckless? Are they that catty and bitchy about Hillary Clinton? Do they really understand what's at stake here? Any of you out there who has had to deal with teenagers know the answers to all these questions.
At least the media is finally waking up to the fact that they have been way too easy on Donald Trump.
Thursday, September 15, 2016
A Tightening Race?
The presidential race is tightening and the Democrats are officially starting to poop themselves with the release of each new poll. Haven't we see this movie before? Oh, right, that was 2012 when Mitt Romney (actually someone who was qualified to be president) gained on Barack Obama and everyone predicted the Mittster would be the next president. They used a similar metric to what they are saying today...lack of voter enthusiasm, especially among young people, would ruin the president.
How did that turn out?
Now, I'm not going to assuage people from jumping up and down and acting like Trump could actually win this thing. I think everyone should spend from now until election day operating under the assumption that Trump is actually ahead in the polls. Why? Because Hillary Clinton can't merely eke out a victory. She has to demolish him with the American people sending a clear message to The Deplorables.
We are not going back. We are moving forward. Take your nonsense and dissolve on the ash heap of history.
If there is vacuum in the sense of urgency department, the election will be much closer than it should be. People that think that Hillary is going to walk away with this one because Trump is nuts are going to deprive her of the political capital she needs to govern starting next year. So, crap away in fear, I say, and let's get more people out there to vote.
In terms of nuts and bolts, here is where the race sits today.
My map is based on an analysis of the following:
The Polls Plus Model at 538.
Real Clear Politics Battle For The White House
Hillary still has the advantage and likely has more than 270 electoral votes. Yet Trump is ahead in the average of polls in Georgia, Florida, Ohio, and Iowa. Hillary is ahead in North Carolina and Nevada with those averages. All six of these states are within the margin of error. If we put them in as either red or blue, we have this map.
So, a much closer race than a couple of weeks ago.
Trump has benefited from an awful week from Clinton as well as being graded on a curve. All he has to do is basically show up, not make an ass out of himself, and he gets a good grade. My hope is the media is going to start getting a lot tougher on him in these last few weeks. Now that he has proven he's an adult, he should be asked adult questions on specific policy points.
Of course, a tight race makes for better ratings for the media so who knows?
How did that turn out?
Now, I'm not going to assuage people from jumping up and down and acting like Trump could actually win this thing. I think everyone should spend from now until election day operating under the assumption that Trump is actually ahead in the polls. Why? Because Hillary Clinton can't merely eke out a victory. She has to demolish him with the American people sending a clear message to The Deplorables.
We are not going back. We are moving forward. Take your nonsense and dissolve on the ash heap of history.
If there is vacuum in the sense of urgency department, the election will be much closer than it should be. People that think that Hillary is going to walk away with this one because Trump is nuts are going to deprive her of the political capital she needs to govern starting next year. So, crap away in fear, I say, and let's get more people out there to vote.
In terms of nuts and bolts, here is where the race sits today.
My map is based on an analysis of the following:
The Polls Plus Model at 538.
Real Clear Politics Battle For The White House
Hillary still has the advantage and likely has more than 270 electoral votes. Yet Trump is ahead in the average of polls in Georgia, Florida, Ohio, and Iowa. Hillary is ahead in North Carolina and Nevada with those averages. All six of these states are within the margin of error. If we put them in as either red or blue, we have this map.
So, a much closer race than a couple of weeks ago.
Trump has benefited from an awful week from Clinton as well as being graded on a curve. All he has to do is basically show up, not make an ass out of himself, and he gets a good grade. My hope is the media is going to start getting a lot tougher on him in these last few weeks. Now that he has proven he's an adult, he should be asked adult questions on specific policy points.
Of course, a tight race makes for better ratings for the media so who knows?
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