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Saturday, December 02, 2017

Four Ways Trump Goes Buh-Bye

Yesterday, Michael Flynn, Donald Trump's former national security adviser, plead guilty to lying tot he FBI and named Jared Kushner and KT McFarland as two senior people in the Trump campaign as having directed him to do so. This comes on top of the New York Daily news report that President Trump's mental capacity is essentially gone. Michele Goldberg at the New York Times has a report that strengthens this assertion.

At this point, I think we see four clear ways the Trump era comes to an end. Here's my take on the likelihood of each transpiring.

1. Trump is indicted by Robert Mueller for colluding with the Russians to win the election in 2016. 

Right now I give this about a 70% chance of happening. It has gone up significantly since yesterday, obviously. If the Democrats take back either chamber next year, it's over for Trump. I predict that Kushner is going to be the next one to cave.

2. Trump resigns from office because he can't take it anymore.

Trump is a whiny baby just like all internet trolls. Taking his ball and going home has a lot of appeal. But he would be admitting defeat if he quit. He might quit if he feels the heat from Mueller and knows he's fucked, hoping that Pence will pull a Gerry Ford and pardon him. I give it about a 40% chance of happening.

3. Trump is indicted on sexual harassment/assault charges. 

Trump has already admitted that he's done this and nothing has happened. The "liberal" media has been too focused on bringing its own people down to notice that they are being jobbed by the right. It's time for them to focus on Trump and let loose the floodgates of every accuser he has ever had. Trump deserves the Bill Clinton treatment.

It is hard to prove this stuff, though, so I give it only about a 25% chance of happening.

4. Trump is removed from office because he is mentally unwell.

This has the greatest chance of happening. If you take a critical look at this behavior for the last 2+ years, it's obvious. He's batshit nuts. He believes every wackadoodle theory the internet has to offer. At this point, I think there is an 80% chance that the 25th amendment will be invoked at some point, likely by the military members of the cabinet, and that will be it. For example, Trump could order a nuclear strike against North Korea and Mattis, Kelly and McMaster all block him.

It's only a matter of time before one of these four things happen and I'm thinking it will be sometime in 2018 before the midterms.

2 comments:

Nikto said...

You forgot these possibilities:

Melania sits on Trump's face in the middle of the night and "accidentally" suffocates him.

Trump overdoses on Viagra and suffers a fatal stroke after a golden shower.

Trump's "hair" is sucked into the blades of Marine One and pulls his head right off his shoulders.

Jared strangles Trump after Mueller charges Kushner with lying to the FBI, obstruction, violating the Logan act, and treason for colluding with the Russians, at which point Trump says: "Jared who? I've heard of him, but I don't know him personally. Besides, they say he's Jewish: the only thing I'd let him do is count my money."

Trump goes into a diabetic coma after eating an entire three-layer chocolate cake and a gallon of ice cream, but the White House staff neglects to tell anyone and he expires at the kitchen table.

rld said...

Bill Clinton has received a pass for many years by many on the left. With the assaults he has been accused of, and he still gets standing ovations at dnc conventions.