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Sunday, December 24, 2017

Oh, Look! A UFO!

For every unexplained UFO sighting there are 10,000 like this one:



No, it's not swamp gas, but it's the equivalent: hot gases from burning kerosene propellant.

It's actually  a SpaceX rocket launching satellites into orbit for the Iridium network. You can't see the rocket at all because it's so small and dark compared to the large, bright contrail backlit from the low sun.

At least Elon Musk has a sense of humor about it:
I'm not posting this to ridicule people who've seen UFOs. It's to underline the fact that it's very easy to misinterpret what you're seeing if you don't know what the object is, or you're looking at something from a weird angle, or under peculiar lighting conditions, or seeing a familiar object much further or much closer than normal.

The human brain is essentially a pattern recognizer, and it's always trying to match what we're seeing to a known object. If there's no good match, your brain may just pick the closest one, or leave you guessing. Just because you can't explain what you saw doesn't mean you're stupid or lying, it means you just don't know what you saw. That doesn't make it mysterious or a conspiracy.

I'm all for investigating weird phenomena in the sky, but the default assumption every time has to be that it's something like this. That doesn't mean you ignore these sightings, because it could very well be nuclear missile from Korea, or a drone from China or Russia.

But aliens shouldn't even be on the menu of possibilities at this point. It's been 70 years since Roswell, and there's been zero solid evidence of anything except incompetence and lying from officials who were trying to cover something up.

It's too bad the SpaceX rocket isn't a real UFO. But that contrail still looks really cool.

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