Watch The Senate Slip Away

538 has a piece up about how Trump is dragging down GOP candidates for Senate in tossup states.

Check it out

Trump may be dragging down Republican Senate candidates

	AUG. 3 MARGIN		AUG. 15 MARGIN		CHANGE
STATE	TRUMP	GOP SENATE CANDIDATE	TRUMP	GOP SENATE CANDIDATE	TRUMP	GOP SENATE CANDIDATE
N.H.	-2	+2	-11	-5	-9	-7
Illinois	-18	-1	-20	-7	-2	-6
Pennsylvania	-6	+2	-10	-2	-4	-4
N.C.	-1	+4	-5	+1	-4	-3
Wisconsin	-9	-8	-12	-11	-3	-3
Nevada	-3	+3	-4	+2	-1	-1
Florida	-4	+5	-5	+5	-1	0
Ohio	-4	+4	-6	+6	-2	+2
Average					-3.3	-2.8

At this point, it seems likely that the Dems will take back the Senate. But by how much?