Rooting for America to fail since 2008.
Wednesday, July 11, 2012
No President Since...
The drone from the "liberal" media of late regarding the re-election chances of President Obama usually revolves around the same line: No president since FDR has been re-elected with an unemployment rate over 8 percent. In looking at this fact alone, liberals should be nervous, right?
Not really.
First, we need to look at who has lost re-election since FDR. We have Gerald Ford, Jimmy Carter, and George HW Bush. I think we can all agree that all three of these men had problems beyond jobs.
Second, people like President Obama personally even if they plan on not voting for him. Right now he's running a few points ahead of Mitt Romney (48-46 or something around there). Yet some of those 46 percent approve of him personally as he consistently polls in the mid 50s in polls on him as a person. Some polls have even had him as high as 75 percent! Doggone it, people like him:) And that's despite the right's continued pummeling of him as a person which, honestly, gives me a great deal of hope about America.
More important than both of these (and VASTLY under reported by the media) is the rate of unemployment in the swing states. You see, folks, it really doesn't matter that unemployment is at 11 percent in Rhode Island or nearly 11 percent in California. Those states are going to go for the president. Heck, they may not even approve of the job he is doing but they are still going to vote for him over Mitt Romney because they know that the latter is going to make things worse. To put it simply, the Democrats have done their job in those states.
Take a look at the unemployment rates by state. And now look at the swing states. Iowa has a 5.1 percent unemployment rate. That's well below the national average and jobs may not be on the minds of folks in that state. I know this because most of my in-laws are from there. Any president would kill for this rate in joblessness so look for the president to focus on other issues here. New Hampshire is right around here as well (5 percent) as is Virginia at 5.6 percent. Wisconsin and New Mexico are at 6.7 and 6.8 percent respectively. Again, well below the national average. Even Ohio and Pennsylvania are at 7.3 and 7.4 percent Most political wonks agree that if unemployment dips to around 7.5 percent, the election is over. Colorado is the final state that is below the national average at 8.1 percent.
So, if you add all these states to the president's base of a solid 196, you get 281 electoral votes and enough to win. That's assuming, of course, that because the unemployment rate is so low, that these states will think the president is doing a good job on the economy. If you look at Andy's map over at Electoral-Vote.com, this jibes with what I am saying here with the exception of Iowa. The conservative, evangelical base has grown very strong there over the years so I wouldn't be surprised if Romney won that state. But that only takes away 6 votes which leaves the president with 275.
We are left with Nevada, Florida, North Carolina and Michigan. North Carolina is barely Republican and will probably go to Romney after the whole gay marriage flap.Andy's map shows us that the rest of those will go to the president's column with Nevada being likely Democratic with Florida and Michigan at barely Democratic. Nevada and Florida have such heavy Latino populations that Romney is going to have real problems in both of these states. Michigan is likely a go for the president for obvious reasons which brings us to 326-212.
At this point, this is my prediction for the election. Obviously, a lot could change between now and then but I honestly don't think that the unemployment rate is going to matter because the battle is really down to 12 states or less. South Carolina could have an employment rate of 0 percent and they would never vote for the president.
Conservatives keep pushing the economy as the main issue but are they paying attention to the unemployment rate in the swing states? Certainly, the media is not.
Tuesday, July 10, 2012
The Common Person Doesn't Get It
I don't think the common person is getting it. ... We've got the message. But my college kid, the baby sitters, the nails ladies -- everybody who's got the right to vote -- they don't understand what's going on. I just think if you're lower income -- one, you're not as educated, two, they don't understand how it works, they don't understand how the systems work, they don't understand the impact.The thing is, I agree with this person: average Tea Party and uneducated low-income Republicans just aren't getting it. They don't know how truly egregious and outrageous the advantages that wealthy people like the Koch brothers derive from their wealth, how they pay almost nothing for oil leases on federal land that net them billions, how wealthy investors get access to special stock deals and inside information from their brokers, and how people Mitt Romney's position pay a paltry 13% tax rate while the commoners pay double that or more.
Recent stories about Mitt Romney's real wealth have exposed some of these tricks: from Cayman Island tax havens, to secret Swiss bank accounts, to IRAs that magically grow to $100 million, to executive perks like free clothes, apartments, 50-yard-line luxury boxes at football games and multi-million-dollar golden parachutes for execs no matter how badly they screw up. Yeah, those poor uneducated Republicans don't have a clue how truly tilted the system is in favor of the wealthy and how the rest of us are paying for their goodies.
I would grant that those who really did create new jobs and wealth, like Henry Ford, Steve Jobs and Bill Gates, deserve huge financial rewards. But most wealthy people never had to work for their money, Heirs to fortunes like the Koch brothers, hedge-fund managers and hired-gun CEOs never created anything new in their lives.
My dad is one of those uneducated Republicans. Back in the Sixties he ran a small business and often paid employees cash under the table to evade payroll taxes (he had to pay back taxes for years). Today he lives on Social Security and a pension from a unionized municipal bus company. He's alive today due to a pacemaker paid for by Medicare and his pension's health care plan. Yet all he can do is complain about socialism, keeping the government's hands off his Medicare, how Obama wasn't born in this country and how those damned dirty Mexicans bringing disease into this country.
If the Republicans carry through with their plans, my dad will lose his "Cadillac" government-funded retiree pension plan, and Social Security and Medicare will be privatized. But exactly who will be paying for retirees currently enrolled in those programs? What will happen to the decades of contributions I made to those programs? I will still be a year too young to qualify for them if Romney and Ryan carry out their threats. They can't give the money back to me, because current retirees are living on that money.
The only people who will come out ahead in the privatization of Medicare and Social Security will be the big banks and investment firms. Just as with 401(k)s and IRAs, all of our money will be put in their hands. Every year "management" fees will nibble away at the money we're supposed to be saving in our retirement accounts, and in the end Wall Street will have even more of our money than they do now. This is why Wall Street is backing Mitt Romney: they want to get their claws in that huge pot of money that's currently paying for my dad's Social Security and Medicare.
There's no doubt that Wall Street will screw up again, like they did just a few years ago. JP Morgan did it a couple of months ago. But even when they bankrupt the rest of us, they'll still attend fund raisers in the Hamptons, get their big fat golden parachutes, and live on the money they squirreled away in Cayman Island and Swiss bank accounts.
Yes, the common person doesn't get it. Because the wealthy are getting everything.
Monday, July 09, 2012
The Charlie Brown of the Supreme Court
The problem is that the justices face exactly the same situation that Charlie Brown does when Lucy tees up the football for him to kick.
When Roberts assumed office in 2005, the mandate was a basic tenet of conservative thought. Mitt Romney and the Heritage foundation said it the only responsible funding mechanism for universal health care, to avoid the infamous free riders.
After teeing up the health care mandate football in conservative health care position papers for decades, and after Romney implemented said mandate in Massachusetts, conservatives yanked the ball away just as Roberts about to kick it, the way Lucy always does to Charlie Brown.
In the last 20 years the Republican Party has been hijacked by a cabal of extremely wealthy individuals with a very specific agenda. The answers nominees to the court gave that Republicans loudly applauded in confirmation hearings seven to ten years ago would be roundly booed and proclaimed treasonous by conservatives today.
This is the real difference between the liberal and conservative viewpoints on the court.
Conservatives appear to believe the court is nothing but an extension of the political process, and appointees should be required to carry out the wishes of the political party that appointed and confirmed them, even years after that party has changed its platform about an issue. For conservatives the court is nothing but another mechanism to enforce their hyperpartisan view of the way the country should be run.
Conservatives used to believe that judicial appointments were the dead hand of long defunct administrations, allowing Ronald Reagan to shape policy from beyond the grave. But this view has morphed completely. Now, with big new campaign contributors entering the fray, they believe that the court should make the decision they want at this moment, because they've given so much cash to candidates and bought all that TV time. And these businessmen demand results for their money.
Liberals believe that court decisions should set precedents that last for decades, if not centuries. They believe justice in the courts should be durable and dependable, and that justices must be able to make decisions independent of the whims of legislators who are looking to feather their own nests and improve their own reelection chances, and campaign donors looking to remold America in the feudal model.
The Supreme Court should be rendering lasting legal precedents, not political expediency. Expedient decisions, like Citizens United, are fleeting Pyrrhic victories that everyone will come to regret in time. I imagine Judge Roberts is already regretting that decision more than anyone else.
Sunday, July 08, 2012
A Cult Member Deprogrammed
Remember that link I put up recently from Bill Maher in which he mentioned Johnathan Krohn? Well, young Mr. Krohn has apparently outgrown his adolescent power fantasy and is now an Obama supporter. Why? check out the clip.
So, he started....reading? Interesting.
Actually, it reminds me of this quote from a recent Op/Ed piece in my hometown paper.
Conservatives decry the liberal bias in the universities. It is true that most college professors are liberals, but I don't think it has anything to do with bias. It is because college professors are intelligent people, and intelligent people tend to be liberal. I have had many conversations with colleagues about why so many people vote against their own best interests, and the only conclusion that is ever reached is that those people are swayed by emotional arguments, not by intelligent thought.
Young Jonathan thankfully has discovered this as well and grown up.
So, he started....reading? Interesting.
Actually, it reminds me of this quote from a recent Op/Ed piece in my hometown paper.
Conservatives decry the liberal bias in the universities. It is true that most college professors are liberals, but I don't think it has anything to do with bias. It is because college professors are intelligent people, and intelligent people tend to be liberal. I have had many conversations with colleagues about why so many people vote against their own best interests, and the only conclusion that is ever reached is that those people are swayed by emotional arguments, not by intelligent thought.
Young Jonathan thankfully has discovered this as well and grown up.
Saturday, July 07, 2012
I KNEW IT!!!!
The falling crime rate amid the worst economic downturn since the Great Depression has puzzled some criminologists, since crime historically spikes during hard times. But countering that trend, some say, have been improvements in US policing tactics, tough sentencing laws that keep recidivists off the streets, an aging population, the popularity of video games that keep young people inside, and even communal solidarity in the face of economic adversity.
Just like I have been saying all along...
We may have a whole other problem on our hands with laziness and lack of motivation but video games sure have made a significant dent in violent crime.
Just like I have been saying all along...
We may have a whole other problem on our hands with laziness and lack of motivation but video games sure have made a significant dent in violent crime.
The Perfect Man For The Part
Well, this made me laugh my ass off about 89 times.
I can't think of a better man for the role!
Kerry Will Play Romney in Mock Debates
I can't think of a better man for the role!
Friday, July 06, 2012
TomKat Splitting Up! Xenu to Blame!
Everyone is buzzing about TomKat splitting up. For those of you who aren't in the know, that means Tom Cruise and Katie Holmes are getting a divorce. And speculation is rife that the cause is Tom Cruise's religion, Scientology.
Apparently Cruise was planning on sending six-year-old Suri off to Scientology's Sea Org (the Sea Organization). Katie, however, has enrolled Suri in a Catholic school. Sea Org members sign a billion-year contract. Sea Org officers wear naval uniforms. They have ranks like captain, lieutenant and ensign. Officers, including women, are addressed as "sir."
If that sounds a little Trekkie to you, it's no surprise. L. Ron Hubbard, the founder of Scientology, was a science fiction writer who published a self-help book called Dianetics: The Modern Science of Mental Health in 1950. The book was announced in an issue of Astounding Science Fiction (which became Analog Science Fact & Fiction in 1960). The editor of Astounding, John Campbell, had published many of Hubbard's short stories and became an early convert to Dianetics. Campbell claimed that Dianetics cured his sinusitus. In a letter to Jack Williamson he wrote, "I know dianetics is one of, if not the greatest, discovery of all Man's written and unwritten history."
Many scientists and even other science fiction writers, like Isaac Asimov, blasted Dianetics as quackery. Writing in Scientific American, Nobel-prize winning physicist I.I. Rabi wrote, "this volume probably contains more promises and less evidence per page than has any publication since the invention of printing."
Hubbard apparently took the criticism to heart and formed the Church of Scientology in 1952. Many believe that Hubbard actually started the church because religions are exempt from taxes. Whatever the reason, Scientology is a money-making enterprise first and foremost. Members undergo "auditing" sessions to become "clear," all for a fee. While most religions want the Holy Word to be publicized broadly, the CoS sues anyone disseminating their sacred texts for copyright and trade secret violations. In order to rise to higher levels in the organization you are required to undergo training sessions that cost many thousands of dollars (which were apparently waived for sufficiently notable people, like Cruise and John Travolta). As you rise in the Church, more of the theology is revealed:
Sea Org's billion-year contract sounds preposterous. But is it any less ridiculous than the infinitely longer contract of eternal life in some unknown and unknowable place promised by so many other religions?
No matter how well respected a religion might be today, every single one started out as a heresy, in direct defiance of the established orders of the day. The real question isn't how crazy a religion is, but how well it serves the people. Does is provide harmony, happiness, health and long life? Or does it cause suspicion, strife, hatred and death?
Apparently Cruise was planning on sending six-year-old Suri off to Scientology's Sea Org (the Sea Organization). Katie, however, has enrolled Suri in a Catholic school. Sea Org members sign a billion-year contract. Sea Org officers wear naval uniforms. They have ranks like captain, lieutenant and ensign. Officers, including women, are addressed as "sir."
If that sounds a little Trekkie to you, it's no surprise. L. Ron Hubbard, the founder of Scientology, was a science fiction writer who published a self-help book called Dianetics: The Modern Science of Mental Health in 1950. The book was announced in an issue of Astounding Science Fiction (which became Analog Science Fact & Fiction in 1960). The editor of Astounding, John Campbell, had published many of Hubbard's short stories and became an early convert to Dianetics. Campbell claimed that Dianetics cured his sinusitus. In a letter to Jack Williamson he wrote, "I know dianetics is one of, if not the greatest, discovery of all Man's written and unwritten history."
Many scientists and even other science fiction writers, like Isaac Asimov, blasted Dianetics as quackery. Writing in Scientific American, Nobel-prize winning physicist I.I. Rabi wrote, "this volume probably contains more promises and less evidence per page than has any publication since the invention of printing."
Hubbard apparently took the criticism to heart and formed the Church of Scientology in 1952. Many believe that Hubbard actually started the church because religions are exempt from taxes. Whatever the reason, Scientology is a money-making enterprise first and foremost. Members undergo "auditing" sessions to become "clear," all for a fee. While most religions want the Holy Word to be publicized broadly, the CoS sues anyone disseminating their sacred texts for copyright and trade secret violations. In order to rise to higher levels in the organization you are required to undergo training sessions that cost many thousands of dollars (which were apparently waived for sufficiently notable people, like Cruise and John Travolta). As you rise in the Church, more of the theology is revealed:
Among these advanced teachings is the story of Xenu (sometimes Xemu), introduced as the tyrant ruler of the "Galactic Confederacy." According to this story, 75 million years ago Xenu brought billions of people to Earth in spacecraft resembling Douglas DC-8 airliners, stacked them around volcanoes and detonated hydrogen bombs in the volcanoes. The thetans then clustered together, stuck to the bodies of the living, and continue to do this today.Sure, the whole Xenu story sounds crazy. But is it any crazier than an angel named Moroni telling Joe Smith where to dig up the Golden Plates for the Book of Mormon and then make him give them back? Crazier than Jehovah's Witnesses who would let their children die rather than take a blood transfusion? Crazier than Christian Scientists who would let their children die rather than accept any medical treatment? Crazier than Catholics who think that any priest can miraculously transubstantiate bread and wine into Christ's actual flesh and blood, which parishioners then consume in ritual cannibalism and vampirism? Crazier than Jews who slice off bits of infant penises?
Sea Org's billion-year contract sounds preposterous. But is it any less ridiculous than the infinitely longer contract of eternal life in some unknown and unknowable place promised by so many other religions?
No matter how well respected a religion might be today, every single one started out as a heresy, in direct defiance of the established orders of the day. The real question isn't how crazy a religion is, but how well it serves the people. Does is provide harmony, happiness, health and long life? Or does it cause suspicion, strife, hatred and death?
The Highest Paid Member of President Obama's Re-Election Campaign
Man, I hope he keeps coming up with this stuff between now and November 6th. Maybe it's time for some comments on Latinos as well.
Votes cast with emotion? BWAAAAHAHAHAHAAHAHAHAA!!!!!!!
Thursday, July 05, 2012
A Perfect Explanation
I've been thoroughly enjoying the new Aaron Sorkin show on HBO entitled The Newsroom. The show centers around a news anchor named Will Mcavoy who has a Howard Beale like moment at Northwestern University and changes his career path forever. He, along with his ex-girlfriend producer, decide to report the actual news without any of the usual bullshit we see in the media today.
The show is filled with all the atypical, frenetic Sorkin dialogue and last Sunday's episode had a line worth noting as it perfectly sums up the "liberal" media.
If the Republicans tried to pass a law that said the Earth was flat, the headline the next day from the Times would be Democrats and Republicans Debate Shape of Earth.
The Cult of Both Sides perfectly explained by one of the best writers of this generation.
The show is filled with all the atypical, frenetic Sorkin dialogue and last Sunday's episode had a line worth noting as it perfectly sums up the "liberal" media.
If the Republicans tried to pass a law that said the Earth was flat, the headline the next day from the Times would be Democrats and Republicans Debate Shape of Earth.
The Cult of Both Sides perfectly explained by one of the best writers of this generation.
What's More Popular Than Congress?
The approval rating of Congress stands is around 10%. Here is a list of 10 things more popular than Congress.
1.President Obama (46%)
2. The Internal Revenue Service (40%)
3. The airline industry (29%)
4. Lawyers (29%)
5. Richard Nixon at his lowest (24%)
6. The banking industry (23%)
7. The oil and gas industry (20%)
8. BP during the Gulf of Mexico oil spill (16%)
9. Paris Hilton (15%)
10. America becoming a Communist nation (11%)
The last one really cracks me up!
1.President Obama (46%)
2. The Internal Revenue Service (40%)
3. The airline industry (29%)
4. Lawyers (29%)
5. Richard Nixon at his lowest (24%)
6. The banking industry (23%)
7. The oil and gas industry (20%)
8. BP during the Gulf of Mexico oil spill (16%)
9. Paris Hilton (15%)
10. America becoming a Communist nation (11%)
The last one really cracks me up!
Wednesday, July 04, 2012
Also Perfect For Today.
I wonder if those people who are frothing at the mouth about the health care mandate would also be upset about the 1792 law, passed by 17 signers of the Constitution and President Washington, that every able bodied man in the United States must own a firearm.
A federal mandate saying that you must own a firearm? Personally, I wouldn't mind that at all but only if it were amended to include women as well:)
A federal mandate saying that you must own a firearm? Personally, I wouldn't mind that at all but only if it were amended to include women as well:)
More Romney Money Uncovered?
It turns out Mitt Romney has been hiding his true wealth. He has a shell company in Bermuda named Sankaty High Yield Asset Investors Ltd. Because of the way the law is written (i.e., the wealthy lobbied Congress to make it that way), Romney wasn't required to disclose the investment.
But he's obviously hiding something, because of the tricks he's been playing:
The tax code is riddled with loopholes and exemptions that allow wealthy people like Mitt Romney to avoid paying taxes on literally trillions of dollars. The rest of us have to make up that missing revenue to pay for all that disaster relief for people hit by wave after wave of tornadoes, violent storms and wildfires, in addition to regularly budgeted items like defense and highway maintenance.
Mitt Romney obviously sees nothing wrong with this situation. His wealthy billionaire pals, ones like Sheldon Adelson who have business interests overseas and have been giving Republican PACs $10 million a pop, want to keep their special treatment going. They know Romney will never eliminate these tax gimmicks.
There's nothing wrong with being rich or legally using the tax code to maximize your income. Warren Buffett certainly does, but he has also acknowledged that it's outrageously unfair that he pays a lower tax rate than his secretary. And he's called for changes to the tax code to correct that injustice.
Mitt Romney, on the other hand, is still hiding his investments overseas, and refuses to release his tax records from his last years at Bain. If he were just an obscure businessman at Bain that would be fine. But he wants to be president of these United States.
A man who hides his true wealth, uses all these tax gimmicks and continues to defend those loopholes cannot be trusted to give all Americans an even break.
But he's obviously hiding something, because of the tricks he's been playing:
Sankaty was transferred to a trust owned by Romney’s wife, Ann, one day before he was sworn in as Massachusetts governor in 2003, according to Bermuda records obtained by The Associated Press. The Romneys’ ownership of the offshore firm did not appear on any state or federal financial reports during Romney’s two presidential campaigns. Only the Romneys’ 2010 tax records, released under political pressure earlier this year, confirmed their continuing control of the company.What is Sankaty? It's not really clear, and Romney refuses to say. But in the past it has been used as a slush fund for Bain Capital's financial machinations:
Named for a historic Massachusetts coastal lighthouse, Sankaty was part of a cluster of similarly named hedge funds run by Bain Capital, the private equity firm Romney founded and led until 1999. The offshore company was used in Bain’s $1 billion takeover of Domino’s Pizza and other multimillion-dollar investment deals more than a decade ago.Today Romney's financial advisers have valued Sankaty at less than $1,000. But this is misleading:
While Sankaty no longer plays an active role in Bain’s current deals, private equity experts said such holdings could provide significant income to Romney under his 10-year separation agreement from Bain, which expired in 2009. Investment funds typically churn “carried interest,” profit shares due to the managers of the funds that often range as much as 20 percent of a fund’s annual profit — known as “the carry.” Even after investment funds are exhausted, profit shares and other late earnings from those stakes can continue to stream, arriving as lucrative “tails,” tax experts say. In some circumstances, the analysts added, offshore companies like Sankaty could also offer limited tax deferral advantages.Which means Romney could still reap a ton of money from Sankaty. Last month he got a $1.9 million "true-up" payment from another asset in his separation deal with Bain. Thus, millions of dollars could erupt from Sankaty at any time.
The tax code is riddled with loopholes and exemptions that allow wealthy people like Mitt Romney to avoid paying taxes on literally trillions of dollars. The rest of us have to make up that missing revenue to pay for all that disaster relief for people hit by wave after wave of tornadoes, violent storms and wildfires, in addition to regularly budgeted items like defense and highway maintenance.
Mitt Romney obviously sees nothing wrong with this situation. His wealthy billionaire pals, ones like Sheldon Adelson who have business interests overseas and have been giving Republican PACs $10 million a pop, want to keep their special treatment going. They know Romney will never eliminate these tax gimmicks.
There's nothing wrong with being rich or legally using the tax code to maximize your income. Warren Buffett certainly does, but he has also acknowledged that it's outrageously unfair that he pays a lower tax rate than his secretary. And he's called for changes to the tax code to correct that injustice.
Mitt Romney, on the other hand, is still hiding his investments overseas, and refuses to release his tax records from his last years at Bain. If he were just an obscure businessman at Bain that would be fine. But he wants to be president of these United States.
A man who hides his true wealth, uses all these tax gimmicks and continues to defend those loopholes cannot be trusted to give all Americans an even break.
Perfect For Today
If one tries to imagine how Gouverner Morris, Thomas Jefferson, John Adams, and the others who wrote the Constitution would have felt--in an era when most Americans were yeoman farmers or craftsmen living in small towns--they would surely have found it preposterous that the federal government require people to buy insurance. But they would also have found it unbelievable that the federal government required hospitals to treat anyone who showed up for emergency care for free if they couldn't pay. In their view, that would have been a state issue, not a federal issue, since hospitals did not operate across state boundaries then. They also probably could not have imagined the federal government licensing the electromagnetic spectrum or sending rockets to the moon. A lot has changed since 1788 and not every modern dispute can be resolved by looking at the text of the Constitution.---Electoral-Vote.Com
An interesting statement that begs the question...what if it's OK to say that the Founding Fathers would have been against something like the health care law but it's still good policy for today? Given that they didn't face the same issues that we do, it's likely they really shouldn't be any sort of authority.
In addition, I'm not sure I agree with Andy here as President Adams signed into a law a bill that forced seamen to hand over some of their pay check for health care.
Too many liberals cower in fear when the right invokes the spirit of the Founding Fathers. I wish they would point out the fact that the FFs argued constantly among themselves. It was out of this debate that our country was born, for better or worse. Even with all the animosity that floats around these days, it's clearly been for the better.
And it's improving every day. Happy 4th of July everyone!
An interesting statement that begs the question...what if it's OK to say that the Founding Fathers would have been against something like the health care law but it's still good policy for today? Given that they didn't face the same issues that we do, it's likely they really shouldn't be any sort of authority.
In addition, I'm not sure I agree with Andy here as President Adams signed into a law a bill that forced seamen to hand over some of their pay check for health care.
Too many liberals cower in fear when the right invokes the spirit of the Founding Fathers. I wish they would point out the fact that the FFs argued constantly among themselves. It was out of this debate that our country was born, for better or worse. Even with all the animosity that floats around these days, it's clearly been for the better.
And it's improving every day. Happy 4th of July everyone!
Tuesday, July 03, 2012
Offshored, Outsourced and Out of Luck
Mitt Romney's strength is supposedly his experience in the private sector running companies. He knows how to make money. The problem is, his tenure at Bain Capital destroyed a lot of jobs, left a lot of companies in bankruptcy and ruin, but left him a whole lot richer from other people's misery.
I'll be the first to admit that some of those companies were were headed into the dumpster anyway. But Romney took a lot of cash out of less troubled companies and put it in his own pocket. How many of those would have survived and prospered had they not been milked dry and left to die in the ditch, so that Ann Romney could buy Olympic-caliber horses at $100,000 a pop?
A story in the Washington Post covers another aspect of Mitt Romney's experience in destroying American jobs. It examines the role of Bain Capital in the decades-long exodus of American jobs overseas. The Romney campaign complained that there is a difference between outsourcing and offshoring. It's a moot point: either way, Americans are out of luck.
A recent Doonesbury cartoon sums it up succinctly:
The problem with the massive exodus of manufacturing to Asia is that some industries are essential to the security of the United States: first and foremost, electronics and computers. These days every aspect of business, government and defense depends heavily on computers and electronic components.
Nearly all computers and their components are manufactured in Asia. American electronics companies are now even moving the design of integrated circuits to Asia. How can we be sure that Red Army agents haven't infiltrated these companies and are designing back doors into these circuits as you read this? There are reports that this has already happened, though it's not clear the design flaw was intentional. But these devices are incredibly complex and have millions of components and millions of lines of code, making it impossible to ensure that they don't have back doors. The only thing we can do is trust the source. Is that really wise?
Since corporations by definition exist only to make money, they have no allegiance to the United States. That means the US government needs to take steps to ensure that we have reliable domestic sources for all the technology critical to our business and defense needs.
Like any soulless, stateless corporation, Mitt Romney has shown his allegiance is to money and not America, American security and American workers. Romney may not be the Manchurian Candidate, but he helped send American jobs to Manchuria.
A Corner Turned?
Most of you have likely heard the story of Karen Klein, the bus monitor who was mercilessly teased by some junior high kids a couple of weeks back. If not, here is the story.
I have to say that I am honestly glad that this story has come out and people can see what is at the very core of our problem in schools: children's behavior. This is the main reason why test scores are low and children are going off to college with all sorts of issues.
It all starts in the home and with the parents. Time and again, children's parents take the side of their children and not the instructor or administrative staff. This leads to continued problems both with the student and the rest of the class. In short, parents don't parent their fucking kids and teachers like me get blamed for poor test scores. Granted, I don't have as many issues in high school but I can tell which kids (by the time they get to me) have been coddled by the parents. And it's far, far too many.
Certainly, there are some teachers and assistants (like Ms. Klein here) who need to grow a pair. If a kid pulled something like that on me (and I have worked over the years in junior high), they'd be one sorry asshole in less than a second. But this video does illustrate the limits the schools have on discipline.
In my children's school district, they are very strict. If someone is sent to the office they get one warning and then they are suspended on the second offense. Continued poor behavior leads to expulsion and it's off to the "jail" school. More schools need to adopt this sort of no tolerance policy.
Bottom line, we need to be tougher on kids. Very tough, if you ask me. They have far too much power today and it's most parents (conservative or liberal) that are giving them this power. Either they are too lazy or are working too much or both, but something has to change....now.
My hope is that this incident with Ms. Klein will be the turning point.
I have to say that I am honestly glad that this story has come out and people can see what is at the very core of our problem in schools: children's behavior. This is the main reason why test scores are low and children are going off to college with all sorts of issues.
It all starts in the home and with the parents. Time and again, children's parents take the side of their children and not the instructor or administrative staff. This leads to continued problems both with the student and the rest of the class. In short, parents don't parent their fucking kids and teachers like me get blamed for poor test scores. Granted, I don't have as many issues in high school but I can tell which kids (by the time they get to me) have been coddled by the parents. And it's far, far too many.
Certainly, there are some teachers and assistants (like Ms. Klein here) who need to grow a pair. If a kid pulled something like that on me (and I have worked over the years in junior high), they'd be one sorry asshole in less than a second. But this video does illustrate the limits the schools have on discipline.
In my children's school district, they are very strict. If someone is sent to the office they get one warning and then they are suspended on the second offense. Continued poor behavior leads to expulsion and it's off to the "jail" school. More schools need to adopt this sort of no tolerance policy.
Bottom line, we need to be tougher on kids. Very tough, if you ask me. They have far too much power today and it's most parents (conservative or liberal) that are giving them this power. Either they are too lazy or are working too much or both, but something has to change....now.
My hope is that this incident with Ms. Klein will be the turning point.
Monday, July 02, 2012
Romney Says Mandate Is Not a Tax
Didn't Mitt Romney get the memo? He says that the mandate in the Affordable Care Act isn't a tax:
Mitt Romney’s presidential campaign on Monday rejected a Republican attack on the Affordable Care Act, repudiating a contention made in last week’s Supreme Court decision that the law’s requirement that individuals carry medical coverage amounts to a tax.
The Romney team’s refusal to invoke the word “tax” with regard to the individual mandate puts the candidate at odds with others in his party at a moment when Republicans are attempting to capitalize on the Supreme Court’s decision, which deemed President Obama’s health-care law constitutional. Some Republican-led states are now trying to thwart the legislation’s effort to cover the poor.The whole thing is pointless bickering over meaningless semantics: penalty, tax, what's the difference? It'll be reported on your taxes if you fail to buy health insurance, so why not let the Republicans have their hissy fit and call it a tax?
But it's irrelevant, because only freeloaders and fools will be paying this tax. A completely optional tax you pay only if you're careless or obstinate isn't really a tax at all. Anyone with a good job will be covered by their employer. Poor people will be covered by Medicaid. Responsible self-employed adults and real small businesses will finally be able to buy decent insurance policies without getting shafted by insurance companies. People who really can't afford it will be given subsidies or exemptions.
Is Romney's disagreement just posturing? Did he get permission from his commanding officer, Grover Norquist, to disagree on the question of whether the mandate is a tax? Is Grover letting Mitt do this in order to make Romney seem somehow more acceptable to independents in the fall? If it is, it shows the depths to which Republicans have to stoop to make their candidates seem electable.
Romney says the first thing he's going to do if elected is repeal Obamacare. Except that Romney says that he's going to keep the part about adult children being covered. And stop insurance companies from kicking you off. And get rid of preexisting condition clauses and lifetime limits. And now he's saying the mandate's not a tax. Basically, Obamacare is identical to the Massachusetts health care law Romney signed.
So, the only real problem are some details about things like how "small" 50-person companies should cover employees. Which means that the law just needs some tweaking around the edges, something which Obama has long said was true: he had to make a lot of compromises to get it passed, and would be glad to fix such problems.
In the end, the only real policy difference between Romney and Obama is that Romney would let some states continue to force hospitals and the rest of us to foot the bill for the health care of obtuse jerks who refuse to take care of themselves.
Sorry, Mitt. We're tired of paying the way for freeloaders. Wait—I'm starting to sound like a Republican!
The Largely Ignored Victory
Any loss for the juveniles on the right is always more devastating given their tendencies towards wild emotional swings (see: junior high). That's why I'm still surprised to see very few celebrating the glaringly obvious victory that has come out of the Supreme Court's ruling on the health care bill. For the first time since the New Deal, the Commerce Clause has been defined in such a way that libertarians have declared victory.
“Under the government’s theory, Congress could address the diet problem by ordering everyone to buy vegetables,” the chief justice wrote. “That is not the country the framers of our Constitution envisioned.”
“We finally won a three-decades-long battle over the commerce clause,” John Eastman, a conservative constitutional scholar and a professor at Chapman University, told me hours after the court’s decision.
This might seem a paradox, given that the court upheld the legislation. But the decision may ultimately prove a Pyrrhic victory for supporters of expansive Congressional power. The opinion reads like a hymn to the ideal of limited government. And by embracing the broccoli argument, it sharply limits the commerce clause — until now the source of ever-expanding legislative power since Chief Justice John Marshall wrote in 1824 that Congressional power to regulate commerce “may be exercised to its utmost extent.”
“The commerce clause is not a general license to regulate an individual from cradle to grave,” Chief Justice Roberts wrote. Libertarians and conservatives have been seeking such a declaration since the New Deal.
You'd think they be happy but no...oh no...Obama won something so it's the end of the world for the 89th time. It's a good thing they don't value "winning the argument" above all else.
“Under the government’s theory, Congress could address the diet problem by ordering everyone to buy vegetables,” the chief justice wrote. “That is not the country the framers of our Constitution envisioned.”
“We finally won a three-decades-long battle over the commerce clause,” John Eastman, a conservative constitutional scholar and a professor at Chapman University, told me hours after the court’s decision.
This might seem a paradox, given that the court upheld the legislation. But the decision may ultimately prove a Pyrrhic victory for supporters of expansive Congressional power. The opinion reads like a hymn to the ideal of limited government. And by embracing the broccoli argument, it sharply limits the commerce clause — until now the source of ever-expanding legislative power since Chief Justice John Marshall wrote in 1824 that Congressional power to regulate commerce “may be exercised to its utmost extent.”
“The commerce clause is not a general license to regulate an individual from cradle to grave,” Chief Justice Roberts wrote. Libertarians and conservatives have been seeking such a declaration since the New Deal.
You'd think they be happy but no...oh no...Obama won something so it's the end of the world for the 89th time. It's a good thing they don't value "winning the argument" above all else.
Sunday, July 01, 2012
Both Sides are Not Equally Hysterical
The difference in rhetoric between Republicans and Democrats couldn't be starker these past few weeks. Republicans are saying the Fast and Furious program is a scandal far worse than Watergate (which is, as Republicans love to say, laughable, since the program was started under George Bush). They're calling the Supreme Court's decision on the health care law "the end of freedom," when all it does is make people take responsibility for themselves.
Meanwhile, Colorado is burning. Texas is burning, and is likely to be hit by a severe power shortage this summer, causing rolling blackouts. Texas isn't on the national power grid, so they don't know what they're going to do. To make things worse, the prevalent forms of power generation, from hydro, to coal, to nuclear, all use vast amounts of water. Many areas in the western half of the US has been in severe drought conditions for years. Earlier this year the south was clobbered by wave after wave of ferocious tornadoes, starting in February. The eastern half of the country has just been hammered by powerful storms, knocking out power for millions, and is now broiling in 90-100 degree temperatures. This heat and lack of air conditioning will kill dozens if not hundreds of the elderly, children and people with asthma and similar diseases.
The increased frequency and severity of these events are due to climate change, but there's a noticeable absence of hysteria about it from national Democratic figures, even though we're probably past the point of no return on climate change.
If climate change were part of the Republican™ brand, though, they would be screaming it was the end of the world, that Armageddon was upon us. They would label the Koch brothers tools of the devil, in league with Saudi princes to jack up the price of oil and bring Sharia law to America. They would say God is punishing us for destroying the environment by turning the environment against us.
But every time it snows more than an inch, or we have a normal winter like those that were common 30 years ago, they say that it's "proof" climate change is a myth. In Virginia law makers removed references to climate change and sea level rise, changing the law to refer to "recurrent flooding," even though sea levels on some parts of the east coast have risen by as much as 3.8 millimeters a year since 1950. Globally, sea level has been rising by eight inches a century since 1843.
And every time we have a heat wave or hurricane, climate scientists will admit, "We can't say this particular severe weather event was caused by climate change." And the nay-sayers immediately pounce and say, "Told you so!"
But that's because climate scientists are honest and have integrity. They won't make a statement they can't prove to be true, because any particular storm might have occurred under any climate regime. What they have predicted is that there will more tornadoes, hurricanes, and thunderstorms, and that they will on average be more severe. Just as we've seen.
Why? Since the atmosphere and ocean are warmer, there is more energy in storm systems. Since the arctic ice is almost completely melting during the summer, there is more water in the atmosphere, the jet stream over the north pole is shifting and weather patterns are changing. This is causing some areas to be hit by colder winters, while others will have much milder ones (like the Twin Cities, where the ground was still bare in mid-January). Some areas will get socked by big snowfalls and floods, while other areas will languish in drought, without enough snow to replenish the snow pack. The result is that Glacier National Park will cease to have glaciers in my lifetime, and people who depend on winter snowfall in the Rockies for their water supply will have to go thirsty.
And it gets more insidious: higher temperatures have allowed insects like pine beetles to migrate north into formerly cool areas, infesting trees that have no defenses. Entire forests die, and then the dead trees burn. Which is exactly what's happening in the Colorado fire.
In short, the "freak" weather we've seen over the last 10 years is doing exactly what climate scientists said it would do. Temperature increases, CO2 levels and sea-level rise are at or above the numbers predicted by the models.
The Republican tactic of throwing a temper tantrum might work for stopping tax increases or repealing health care for all Americans. But it won't stop people from dying of heat stroke or prevent more intense and frequent hurricanes and floods. In the long run, all that damage caused by severe weather and rising seas will cost us trillions of dollars, money we could spend to make our air cleaner and cooler, and making all Americans healthier.
Meanwhile, Colorado is burning. Texas is burning, and is likely to be hit by a severe power shortage this summer, causing rolling blackouts. Texas isn't on the national power grid, so they don't know what they're going to do. To make things worse, the prevalent forms of power generation, from hydro, to coal, to nuclear, all use vast amounts of water. Many areas in the western half of the US has been in severe drought conditions for years. Earlier this year the south was clobbered by wave after wave of ferocious tornadoes, starting in February. The eastern half of the country has just been hammered by powerful storms, knocking out power for millions, and is now broiling in 90-100 degree temperatures. This heat and lack of air conditioning will kill dozens if not hundreds of the elderly, children and people with asthma and similar diseases.
The increased frequency and severity of these events are due to climate change, but there's a noticeable absence of hysteria about it from national Democratic figures, even though we're probably past the point of no return on climate change.
If climate change were part of the Republican™ brand, though, they would be screaming it was the end of the world, that Armageddon was upon us. They would label the Koch brothers tools of the devil, in league with Saudi princes to jack up the price of oil and bring Sharia law to America. They would say God is punishing us for destroying the environment by turning the environment against us.
But every time it snows more than an inch, or we have a normal winter like those that were common 30 years ago, they say that it's "proof" climate change is a myth. In Virginia law makers removed references to climate change and sea level rise, changing the law to refer to "recurrent flooding," even though sea levels on some parts of the east coast have risen by as much as 3.8 millimeters a year since 1950. Globally, sea level has been rising by eight inches a century since 1843.
And every time we have a heat wave or hurricane, climate scientists will admit, "We can't say this particular severe weather event was caused by climate change." And the nay-sayers immediately pounce and say, "Told you so!"
But that's because climate scientists are honest and have integrity. They won't make a statement they can't prove to be true, because any particular storm might have occurred under any climate regime. What they have predicted is that there will more tornadoes, hurricanes, and thunderstorms, and that they will on average be more severe. Just as we've seen.
Why? Since the atmosphere and ocean are warmer, there is more energy in storm systems. Since the arctic ice is almost completely melting during the summer, there is more water in the atmosphere, the jet stream over the north pole is shifting and weather patterns are changing. This is causing some areas to be hit by colder winters, while others will have much milder ones (like the Twin Cities, where the ground was still bare in mid-January). Some areas will get socked by big snowfalls and floods, while other areas will languish in drought, without enough snow to replenish the snow pack. The result is that Glacier National Park will cease to have glaciers in my lifetime, and people who depend on winter snowfall in the Rockies for their water supply will have to go thirsty.
And it gets more insidious: higher temperatures have allowed insects like pine beetles to migrate north into formerly cool areas, infesting trees that have no defenses. Entire forests die, and then the dead trees burn. Which is exactly what's happening in the Colorado fire.
In short, the "freak" weather we've seen over the last 10 years is doing exactly what climate scientists said it would do. Temperature increases, CO2 levels and sea-level rise are at or above the numbers predicted by the models.
The Republican tactic of throwing a temper tantrum might work for stopping tax increases or repealing health care for all Americans. But it won't stop people from dying of heat stroke or prevent more intense and frequent hurricanes and floods. In the long run, all that damage caused by severe weather and rising seas will cost us trillions of dollars, money we could spend to make our air cleaner and cooler, and making all Americans healthier.
Say Thanks
Remember a couple of months back when President Obama was secretly plotting to drive up gas prices in order to usher in an area of green and clean energy for all his Solyndra like buddies? (This, along with the same plot to walk guns into Mexico which would, in turn, lead to him being able to take guns away here at home.What a crafty Kenyan!)
Yeah, well, things didn't quite happen that way.
In case you never heard about it, in April the Obama administration asked Congress to spend $52 million to regulate this speculation. According to the Washington Post, this included the following steps:
• Increase by a factor of six Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) surveillance and enforcement staff “to better deter oil market manipulation."
• Boost 10-fold, to $10 million, the civil and criminal penalties against “firms that engage in market manipulation."
• Give the CFTC authority to increase the trader margins — the amount of their own capital that traders must set aside for each bet. The administration officials said such authority “could help limit disruptions in energy markets,” according to the Post.
So what’s happened since April? Oil ended the month at $106, and as of June 22, it had lost 21 percent of its value — sitting at $84. I guess I under-estimated the impact of the CME’s boost in margin requirements for oil speculators.
As I stated back when this flap started, the problem was never the president. The problem was the speculators. Why?
When regulators raise those requirements, oil speculation becomes less attractive to traders, and they place bets elsewhere. And when margin requirements drop, the traders pile into their oil speculations — confident that they can borrow enough to limit their downside while boosting their upside opportunity.
In February 2011, when commodities exchanges raised the amount of their own capital that speculators must set aside in order to trade — according to Bloomberg, the New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX) increased its margin requirements 20 percent to $6,075 per contract, and the International Exchange (ICE) increased its margin requirement 7 percent to $5,200 – the price of oil fell 10 percent within a few months.
And a year later, the commodities exchanges cut the amount of capital that speculators need to set aside before trading — the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) cut by 9 percent to $6,885 the amount that Nymex crude speculators have to post to trade the so-called front-month contract, according to MarketWatch – leading prices to soar to $109 that month.
A fine example of how the government can sometimes improve market outcomes and increase market efficiency. These speculators weren't actually trading in oil and were distorting the market.
So, the next time you fill up at the pump. thank the president for implementing this plan. After all, he is saving you hundreds of dollars a year!
Yeah, well, things didn't quite happen that way.
In case you never heard about it, in April the Obama administration asked Congress to spend $52 million to regulate this speculation. According to the Washington Post, this included the following steps:
• Increase by a factor of six Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) surveillance and enforcement staff “to better deter oil market manipulation."
• Boost 10-fold, to $10 million, the civil and criminal penalties against “firms that engage in market manipulation."
• Give the CFTC authority to increase the trader margins — the amount of their own capital that traders must set aside for each bet. The administration officials said such authority “could help limit disruptions in energy markets,” according to the Post.
So what’s happened since April? Oil ended the month at $106, and as of June 22, it had lost 21 percent of its value — sitting at $84. I guess I under-estimated the impact of the CME’s boost in margin requirements for oil speculators.
As I stated back when this flap started, the problem was never the president. The problem was the speculators. Why?
When regulators raise those requirements, oil speculation becomes less attractive to traders, and they place bets elsewhere. And when margin requirements drop, the traders pile into their oil speculations — confident that they can borrow enough to limit their downside while boosting their upside opportunity.
In February 2011, when commodities exchanges raised the amount of their own capital that speculators must set aside in order to trade — according to Bloomberg, the New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX) increased its margin requirements 20 percent to $6,075 per contract, and the International Exchange (ICE) increased its margin requirement 7 percent to $5,200 – the price of oil fell 10 percent within a few months.
And a year later, the commodities exchanges cut the amount of capital that speculators need to set aside before trading — the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) cut by 9 percent to $6,885 the amount that Nymex crude speculators have to post to trade the so-called front-month contract, according to MarketWatch – leading prices to soar to $109 that month.
A fine example of how the government can sometimes improve market outcomes and increase market efficiency. These speculators weren't actually trading in oil and were distorting the market.
So, the next time you fill up at the pump. thank the president for implementing this plan. After all, he is saving you hundreds of dollars a year!
Saturday, June 30, 2012
Won't Get Fooled Again
A while back, last in line chided me for not talking more about Fast and Furious, the ATF flap that has currently engulfed Congress and now has resulted in the first ever contempt vote for an Attorney General of the United States. Honestly, I should have listened to his advice and started digging into it. In fact, the same can be said for the media who were accused of ignoring the story because they are in the tank for the Obama Administration. Right wing bloggers all over the nation screamed that the media should start reporting more on this topic.
Oops.
I guess they woke up the sleeping giant.
The agents faced numerous obstacles in what they dubbed the Fast and Furious case. (They named it after the street-racing movie because the suspects drag raced cars together.) Their greatest difficulty by far, however, was convincing prosecutors that they had sufficient grounds to seize guns and arrest straw purchasers. By June 2010 the agents had sent the U.S. Attorney's office a list of 31 suspects they wanted to arrest, with 46 pages outlining their illegal acts. But for the next seven months prosecutors did not indict a single suspect.
Why didn't they arrest them? And, if they were purposefully walking guns, how is it that it comes out now that they wanted to arrest these guys?
Quite simply, there's a fundamental misconception at the heart of the Fast and Furious scandal. Nobody disputes that suspected straw purchasers under surveillance by the ATF repeatedly bought guns that eventually fell into criminal hands. Issa and others charge that the ATF intentionally allowed guns to walk as an operational tactic. But five law-enforcement agents directly involved in Fast and Furious tell Fortune that the ATF had no such tactic. They insist they never purposefully allowed guns to be illegally trafficked. Just the opposite: They say they seized weapons whenever they could but were hamstrung by prosecutors and weak laws, which stymied them at every turn.
Indeed, a six-month Fortune investigation reveals that the public case alleging that Voth and his colleagues walked guns is replete with distortions, errors, partial truths, and even some outright lies. Fortune reviewed more than 2,000 pages of confidential ATF documents and interviewed 39 people, including seven law-enforcement agents with direct knowledge of the case. Several, including Voth, are speaking out for the first time.
Wait. How can this be? Every single thing that is published on a right wing blog is 100 percent accurate and never retracted. Oh, wait, I see...
How Fast and Furious reached the headlines is a strange and unsettling saga, one that reveals a lot about politics and media today. It's a story that starts with a grudge, specifically Dodson's anger at Voth. After the terrible murder of agent Terry, Dodson made complaints that were then amplified, first by right-wing bloggers, then by CBS. Rep. Issa and other politicians then seized those elements to score points against the Obama administration.
Amplified, huh...shocking, simply shocking...
Sorry, folks, I really dropped the ball on this one. Had I listened to my regular commenters and dug into this story more extensively we could have been where we are at right now: the truth.
So, I'm very happy to continue to talk about this issue now that all of these facts have come to light.
Oops.
I guess they woke up the sleeping giant.
The agents faced numerous obstacles in what they dubbed the Fast and Furious case. (They named it after the street-racing movie because the suspects drag raced cars together.) Their greatest difficulty by far, however, was convincing prosecutors that they had sufficient grounds to seize guns and arrest straw purchasers. By June 2010 the agents had sent the U.S. Attorney's office a list of 31 suspects they wanted to arrest, with 46 pages outlining their illegal acts. But for the next seven months prosecutors did not indict a single suspect.
Why didn't they arrest them? And, if they were purposefully walking guns, how is it that it comes out now that they wanted to arrest these guys?
Quite simply, there's a fundamental misconception at the heart of the Fast and Furious scandal. Nobody disputes that suspected straw purchasers under surveillance by the ATF repeatedly bought guns that eventually fell into criminal hands. Issa and others charge that the ATF intentionally allowed guns to walk as an operational tactic. But five law-enforcement agents directly involved in Fast and Furious tell Fortune that the ATF had no such tactic. They insist they never purposefully allowed guns to be illegally trafficked. Just the opposite: They say they seized weapons whenever they could but were hamstrung by prosecutors and weak laws, which stymied them at every turn.
Indeed, a six-month Fortune investigation reveals that the public case alleging that Voth and his colleagues walked guns is replete with distortions, errors, partial truths, and even some outright lies. Fortune reviewed more than 2,000 pages of confidential ATF documents and interviewed 39 people, including seven law-enforcement agents with direct knowledge of the case. Several, including Voth, are speaking out for the first time.
Wait. How can this be? Every single thing that is published on a right wing blog is 100 percent accurate and never retracted. Oh, wait, I see...
How Fast and Furious reached the headlines is a strange and unsettling saga, one that reveals a lot about politics and media today. It's a story that starts with a grudge, specifically Dodson's anger at Voth. After the terrible murder of agent Terry, Dodson made complaints that were then amplified, first by right-wing bloggers, then by CBS. Rep. Issa and other politicians then seized those elements to score points against the Obama administration.
Amplified, huh...shocking, simply shocking...
Sorry, folks, I really dropped the ball on this one. Had I listened to my regular commenters and dug into this story more extensively we could have been where we are at right now: the truth.
So, I'm very happy to continue to talk about this issue now that all of these facts have come to light.
Friday, June 29, 2012
The Health Care Conversation
Here's a recent conversation I had with a Facebook friend who is positively apoplectic about the Supreme Court's decision on health care. I thought I would copy and past some portions of it as it speaks to some of the comments I have received here thus far. His comments are in blue.
Mark, you're missing the point. The Court didn't say that Congress has the power to tax people for not buying insurance because insurance is important and necessary. The Court said Congress can simply tax people for not doing whatever Congress wants them to do. The point is that if Congress can tax us for not having insurance, it can tax us for not exercising or not eating enough green vegetables.
I disagree. In looking at the brief, it's very clear throughout the entire opinion that this ties to health care and shared responsibility. For example,
A tax on going without health insurance does not fall within any recognized category of direct tax. It is not a capitation. Capitations are taxes paid by every person, “without regard to property, profession, or any other circumstance.” The whole point of the shared responsibility payment is that it is triggered by specific circumstances—earning a certain amount of income but not obtaining health insurance. The payment is also plainly not a tax on the ownership of land or personal property. The shared responsibility payment is thus not a direct tax that must be apportioned among the several States.
To me, this says that the health care market is unique and sets up a precedent that Congress cannot tax people for not doing whatever it is they want them to do. Roberts details that further.
Congress’s ability to use its taxing power to influence conduct is not without limits. A few of our cases policed these limits aggressively, invalidating punitive exactions obviously designed to regulate behavior otherwise regarded at the time as beyond federal authority.
And the fact that everyone should have decent health care doesn't give Congress or the Court the right to trample to trample the Constitution and invent new powers for Congress to achieve a desired end. I agree that those who benefit from receiving health care should pay for it. But that doesn't mean that the federal government, having gotten in the business of providing and paying for health care, has broad power to compel people to buy health insurance.
From the brief...
None of this is to say that payment is not intended to induce the purchase of health insurance. But the mandate need not be read to declare that failing to do so is unlawful. Neither the Affordable Care Act nor any other law attaches negative legal consequences to not buying health insurance, beyond requiring a payment to the IRS. And Congress’s choice of language—stating that individuals “shall” obtain insurance or pay a “penalty”—does not require reading §5000A as punishing unlawful conduct.
Further
The Act, however, bars the IRS from using several of its normal enforcement tools, such as criminal prosecutions and levies. §5000A(g)(2). And some individuals who are subject to the mandate are nonetheless exempt from the penalty—for example, those with income below a certainthreshold and members of Indian tribes. §5000A(e).
So, it's not "broad or new power." In fact, Roberts points out (as does the law), that it is limited power. Roberts also goes to great lengths to point out in the commerce clause section and necessary and proper section that the Constitution does indeed limit the power of the federal government. So, no trampling here certainly. I'd also urge you to read pgs 41-43 of the brief and take note of Roberts reference to Benjamin Franklin's letter to M. Le Roy regarding the Constitution and taxes.
What if we moved away from an insurance-based model and simply expected that people were going to pay hospital and doctor bills on their own? The cost of healthcare is ridiculously inflated by the comprehensive insurance model, which keeps larding benefits into plans. The government can tax people to put money into a pool available on a means-tested basis for those who can't pay for major health problems. Let people take back ownership for their own health care costs, decisions and priorities.
The issue I have here is inelastic demand. If services and products were directly available to the public without insurance in the way, what's to stop the supplier from charging a high price. In many health care markets, demand is inelastic because people aren't going to leave the market when the price goes up. The suppliers will know that they have their customers trapped and will undoubtedly act to increase profit. So, these markets would not allocate resources efficiently and consumer surplus would erode. Believe me, I'd love to remove insurance from the equation. My wife and I pay nearly 800 dollars a month for our family! But that would lead to higher prices unless the government got involved and put price controls in place. That also would be detrimental as it would erode market efficiency.
Don't forget that the Democratic Congress and the Administration argued loudly and repeatedly that revenue in re: the individual mandate was NOT a tax. The Court has declared that it is, so therefore it is constitutional. It's bizarro-world. Again, what practical limits are there now on Congress' power to force people to do whatever it happens to decide is in the people's best interest?
These practical limits are pointed out extensively in the brief as I have listed above. You and I have different sensitivities when it comes to the federal government so we will likely have to agree to disagree here. My hope is that you take some solace in Roberts' words, though:)
Enumerated powers is effectively a dead doctrine, and now the federal government can do anything that the constitution and Court precedent have not explicitly forbidden. Think about that, and what that might mean when a political party and/or President you don't like get back in power.
Well, this speaks to our differing views on government. Yes, government is indeed bigger today but so is the private sector. I don't see a problem with that. We have a 15 trillion dollar economy and a global marketplace that is in a constant state of change every single day. In my view, having less government in light of these facts (and regardless of who is in power), would be detrimental.
That's it so far. Likely the conversation will continue...
Mark, you're missing the point. The Court didn't say that Congress has the power to tax people for not buying insurance because insurance is important and necessary. The Court said Congress can simply tax people for not doing whatever Congress wants them to do. The point is that if Congress can tax us for not having insurance, it can tax us for not exercising or not eating enough green vegetables.
I disagree. In looking at the brief, it's very clear throughout the entire opinion that this ties to health care and shared responsibility. For example,
A tax on going without health insurance does not fall within any recognized category of direct tax. It is not a capitation. Capitations are taxes paid by every person, “without regard to property, profession, or any other circumstance.” The whole point of the shared responsibility payment is that it is triggered by specific circumstances—earning a certain amount of income but not obtaining health insurance. The payment is also plainly not a tax on the ownership of land or personal property. The shared responsibility payment is thus not a direct tax that must be apportioned among the several States.
To me, this says that the health care market is unique and sets up a precedent that Congress cannot tax people for not doing whatever it is they want them to do. Roberts details that further.
Congress’s ability to use its taxing power to influence conduct is not without limits. A few of our cases policed these limits aggressively, invalidating punitive exactions obviously designed to regulate behavior otherwise regarded at the time as beyond federal authority.
And the fact that everyone should have decent health care doesn't give Congress or the Court the right to trample to trample the Constitution and invent new powers for Congress to achieve a desired end. I agree that those who benefit from receiving health care should pay for it. But that doesn't mean that the federal government, having gotten in the business of providing and paying for health care, has broad power to compel people to buy health insurance.
From the brief...
None of this is to say that payment is not intended to induce the purchase of health insurance. But the mandate need not be read to declare that failing to do so is unlawful. Neither the Affordable Care Act nor any other law attaches negative legal consequences to not buying health insurance, beyond requiring a payment to the IRS. And Congress’s choice of language—stating that individuals “shall” obtain insurance or pay a “penalty”—does not require reading §5000A as punishing unlawful conduct.
Further
The Act, however, bars the IRS from using several of its normal enforcement tools, such as criminal prosecutions and levies. §5000A(g)(2). And some individuals who are subject to the mandate are nonetheless exempt from the penalty—for example, those with income below a certainthreshold and members of Indian tribes. §5000A(e).
So, it's not "broad or new power." In fact, Roberts points out (as does the law), that it is limited power. Roberts also goes to great lengths to point out in the commerce clause section and necessary and proper section that the Constitution does indeed limit the power of the federal government. So, no trampling here certainly. I'd also urge you to read pgs 41-43 of the brief and take note of Roberts reference to Benjamin Franklin's letter to M. Le Roy regarding the Constitution and taxes.
What if we moved away from an insurance-based model and simply expected that people were going to pay hospital and doctor bills on their own? The cost of healthcare is ridiculously inflated by the comprehensive insurance model, which keeps larding benefits into plans. The government can tax people to put money into a pool available on a means-tested basis for those who can't pay for major health problems. Let people take back ownership for their own health care costs, decisions and priorities.
The issue I have here is inelastic demand. If services and products were directly available to the public without insurance in the way, what's to stop the supplier from charging a high price. In many health care markets, demand is inelastic because people aren't going to leave the market when the price goes up. The suppliers will know that they have their customers trapped and will undoubtedly act to increase profit. So, these markets would not allocate resources efficiently and consumer surplus would erode. Believe me, I'd love to remove insurance from the equation. My wife and I pay nearly 800 dollars a month for our family! But that would lead to higher prices unless the government got involved and put price controls in place. That also would be detrimental as it would erode market efficiency.
Don't forget that the Democratic Congress and the Administration argued loudly and repeatedly that revenue in re: the individual mandate was NOT a tax. The Court has declared that it is, so therefore it is constitutional. It's bizarro-world. Again, what practical limits are there now on Congress' power to force people to do whatever it happens to decide is in the people's best interest?
These practical limits are pointed out extensively in the brief as I have listed above. You and I have different sensitivities when it comes to the federal government so we will likely have to agree to disagree here. My hope is that you take some solace in Roberts' words, though:)
Enumerated powers is effectively a dead doctrine, and now the federal government can do anything that the constitution and Court precedent have not explicitly forbidden. Think about that, and what that might mean when a political party and/or President you don't like get back in power.
Well, this speaks to our differing views on government. Yes, government is indeed bigger today but so is the private sector. I don't see a problem with that. We have a 15 trillion dollar economy and a global marketplace that is in a constant state of change every single day. In my view, having less government in light of these facts (and regardless of who is in power), would be detrimental.
That's it so far. Likely the conversation will continue...
Thursday, June 28, 2012
Today's Decision
Today, the Supreme Court of the United States voted 5-4 to uphold the Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act. Directly after this decision was handed down, conservatives around the country went even more batshit than they are already are and took to Twitter and Facebook to scream about the federal government.
"What doesn't the federal government have the power to tax?" one of my FB friends asked? Xanax? Therapy?
Anyhoozles, here are my thoughts on the decision.
As I noted yesterday, everyone wins. The president's signature bill is Constitutional. The Democrats can now run with a very large win under their belt as there will be no more legal challenges to the ACA. Mitt Romney wins because now he can now energize the base for this election with promises of repeal. I know he is saying "Repeal and Replace" but I have yet to see the "Replace" part of that equation. In fact, is there a solution from anyone on the right other than "Do Nothing?" Regardless, there are a lot of Armageddon shelter builders out there that will now turn out to vote.
The main thing I keep thinking about is how this was originally a GOP plan. It originated at the Heritage Foundation and does, in essence, what the right bitches about all the time-ELIMINATE THE FREELOADERS. Since the law states that we must treat everyone, then everyone should have health insurance. If you choose not to (that's right, no one is forcing you), you have to pay a penalty.
Now the GOP were all for this until January of 2009 when Obama and the Democrats got behind it in the completely hilarious hope that the Republicans would support it as well. That ended up going something like this.
"What?!!!? Dad and Mom support it now??!! Fuck that noise!"
And then they hated it.
Toss in all the feelings and emotions they have about the other side winning and you have all the usual.
I'm sadly disappointed in Anthony Kennedy for not siding with Chief Justice Roberts and the other four justices in the majority. For being a "swing voter," he certainly does seem to fall on libertarian grounds more often than not. The fact that he couldn't see it as a tax shows how his personal ideology interfered with his supposed blind judgement. That's also true of Scalia, Alito, and Thomas.
Speaking of taxes, wasn't it great how Chief Justice Roberts did the Democrats job for them? The fact that they were so chicken shit back in 2009-2010 that they couldn't call it a tax says a lot. Now, of course, it's fine to talk about raising taxes on the wealthy after the OWS movement but where were they back then when it took real guts?
Doing a piss poor job of effectively communicating why this bill is needed while allowing the right to panic monger the shit out of it.
I guess I'm happy, mostly, though with the outcome today. It's the best option we have right now for dealing with this problem and I'm grateful that John Roberts saw this in a larger picture rather than his personal ideological lens.
"What doesn't the federal government have the power to tax?" one of my FB friends asked? Xanax? Therapy?
Anyhoozles, here are my thoughts on the decision.
As I noted yesterday, everyone wins. The president's signature bill is Constitutional. The Democrats can now run with a very large win under their belt as there will be no more legal challenges to the ACA. Mitt Romney wins because now he can now energize the base for this election with promises of repeal. I know he is saying "Repeal and Replace" but I have yet to see the "Replace" part of that equation. In fact, is there a solution from anyone on the right other than "Do Nothing?" Regardless, there are a lot of Armageddon shelter builders out there that will now turn out to vote.
The main thing I keep thinking about is how this was originally a GOP plan. It originated at the Heritage Foundation and does, in essence, what the right bitches about all the time-ELIMINATE THE FREELOADERS. Since the law states that we must treat everyone, then everyone should have health insurance. If you choose not to (that's right, no one is forcing you), you have to pay a penalty.
Now the GOP were all for this until January of 2009 when Obama and the Democrats got behind it in the completely hilarious hope that the Republicans would support it as well. That ended up going something like this.
"What?!!!? Dad and Mom support it now??!! Fuck that noise!"
And then they hated it.
Toss in all the feelings and emotions they have about the other side winning and you have all the usual.
I'm sadly disappointed in Anthony Kennedy for not siding with Chief Justice Roberts and the other four justices in the majority. For being a "swing voter," he certainly does seem to fall on libertarian grounds more often than not. The fact that he couldn't see it as a tax shows how his personal ideology interfered with his supposed blind judgement. That's also true of Scalia, Alito, and Thomas.
Speaking of taxes, wasn't it great how Chief Justice Roberts did the Democrats job for them? The fact that they were so chicken shit back in 2009-2010 that they couldn't call it a tax says a lot. Now, of course, it's fine to talk about raising taxes on the wealthy after the OWS movement but where were they back then when it took real guts?
Doing a piss poor job of effectively communicating why this bill is needed while allowing the right to panic monger the shit out of it.
I guess I'm happy, mostly, though with the outcome today. It's the best option we have right now for dealing with this problem and I'm grateful that John Roberts saw this in a larger picture rather than his personal ideological lens.
Chief Justice Roberts Mans Up
The Supreme Court has ruled that the Affordable Care Act, often referred to as Obamacare, is constitutional in a five to four decision. The ruling lets stand the personal mandate and most of the other provisions, the exception being the penalties imposed on states that refuse to expand Medicaid.
This is a major milestone for the Supreme Court, which for the last twelve years has made many decisions for political instead of legal reasons. This ruling, along with Monday's on the Arizona immigration law, may indicate that Chief Justice John Roberts is evolving into an independent jurist who takes his stewardship of the law of the land seriously, and is not a political puppet bent on satisfying his political masters or pursuing a partisan agenda. The different between Roberts and Antonin Scalia is particularly striking.
The interesting thing about the ruling was that the mandate was found constitutional not on the commerce clause, but on the federal government's authority to levy taxes. This was always obvious to me from the beginning, but Democrats avoided characterizing it that way because they didn't want to be painted as creating a new tax. During oral arguments the justices seemed to denigrate the commerce clause as a justification for the mandate, making many think it would almost certainly be overturned. Scalia attempted to equate the mandate to forcing people to buy broccoli.
This was always a bogus argument, because people who don't buy broccoli don't eat broccoli, but people who don't pay for health insurance can still use health care. If you have a medical emergency the hospital is required by law to treat you. Which means that if you have a heart attack while jogging you won't die just because you didn't have your insurance card with you.
The law does not make it a crime to avoid buying health insurance. You just have to pay a penalty if you're not covered. In essence you have the choice between a) buying health insurance and b) paying an obstinacy tax. Furthermore, if you really can't afford to pay for health care the law provides subsidies and exceptions.
People have characterized the mandate as Obama's plan, but during the 2008 presidential primary he frequently voiced his opposition to it. Hillary Clinton had endorsed mandates by 2008 because conservatives, like Mitt Romney and Bob Dole and the Heritage Foundation, had proposed it to counter the health care plan she developed during the first Clinton administration. Obama and many Democrats compromised and reluctantly signed on to the mandate thinking that they could get some number of those same conservatives to be consist and continue to support what they themselves had invented. But almost no Republicans signed on; they only cared about handing Obama a political defeat.
Everyone knows that our health care system is too expensive and inefficient, that hospitals can't be expected to provide emergency room treatment for free, and that people should be responsible for themselves. Republican opposition to the health care law is simply political sabotage.
It's a relief to see Justice Roberts admit that and do what's right for the country.
This is a major milestone for the Supreme Court, which for the last twelve years has made many decisions for political instead of legal reasons. This ruling, along with Monday's on the Arizona immigration law, may indicate that Chief Justice John Roberts is evolving into an independent jurist who takes his stewardship of the law of the land seriously, and is not a political puppet bent on satisfying his political masters or pursuing a partisan agenda. The different between Roberts and Antonin Scalia is particularly striking.
The interesting thing about the ruling was that the mandate was found constitutional not on the commerce clause, but on the federal government's authority to levy taxes. This was always obvious to me from the beginning, but Democrats avoided characterizing it that way because they didn't want to be painted as creating a new tax. During oral arguments the justices seemed to denigrate the commerce clause as a justification for the mandate, making many think it would almost certainly be overturned. Scalia attempted to equate the mandate to forcing people to buy broccoli.
This was always a bogus argument, because people who don't buy broccoli don't eat broccoli, but people who don't pay for health insurance can still use health care. If you have a medical emergency the hospital is required by law to treat you. Which means that if you have a heart attack while jogging you won't die just because you didn't have your insurance card with you.
The law does not make it a crime to avoid buying health insurance. You just have to pay a penalty if you're not covered. In essence you have the choice between a) buying health insurance and b) paying an obstinacy tax. Furthermore, if you really can't afford to pay for health care the law provides subsidies and exceptions.
People have characterized the mandate as Obama's plan, but during the 2008 presidential primary he frequently voiced his opposition to it. Hillary Clinton had endorsed mandates by 2008 because conservatives, like Mitt Romney and Bob Dole and the Heritage Foundation, had proposed it to counter the health care plan she developed during the first Clinton administration. Obama and many Democrats compromised and reluctantly signed on to the mandate thinking that they could get some number of those same conservatives to be consist and continue to support what they themselves had invented. But almost no Republicans signed on; they only cared about handing Obama a political defeat.
Everyone knows that our health care system is too expensive and inefficient, that hospitals can't be expected to provide emergency room treatment for free, and that people should be responsible for themselves. Republican opposition to the health care law is simply political sabotage.
It's a relief to see Justice Roberts admit that and do what's right for the country.
Wednesday, June 27, 2012
SCOTUS EVE
'Twas the night before the Supreme Court ruling and all through the house, predictions and prognostications were stirring even the mouse! Any thoughts on how it will go? Politico has an interesting piece up that essentially says that if the law is partially or entirely struck down, everyone loses.
I agree.
I agree.
Tuesday, June 26, 2012
To the Ends of the Earth!
A lot of the people who support Big Oil are skeptical that human CO2 emissions from the burning of coal and oil could possibly change the climate. But Big Oil is about to make out like bandits because the receding arctic ice cap has uncovered a new supply of oil near the North Pole. Because the ice cap is now gone most of the summer, Shell Oil will be able to start exploratory drilling this summer.
According to an article in Scientific American (which has frequently run ads for Shell):
That means the entire reserve in the arctic would last the world about a thousand days, or less than three years. However, it will likely take years or decades to extract that oil, because the oil fields are remote, frigid and deep beneath the ocean. If you thought the technological challenges of drilling in the Gulf of Mexico were daunting, imagine drilling for oil when the temperature is 40 below zero and the wind is blowing 50 miles an hour. Because even though the arctic sea ice now melts almost completely in the summer, winter at the pole is still terribly harsh. And since countries like Russia, Norway, Sweden, Canada and Finland will also have claims to arctic oil the amount the United States could drill would likely last less than a single year.
Doesn't it seem a little crazy to spend that much money and risk men's lives in such a treacherous environment to extract that last little bit of oil from the ends of the earth? At this point it makes more sense to invest those resources on a renewable source that will provide us with energy for long term. We can always wait to go after that oil later, after the technology has improved.
But it makes you wonder: are Big Oil's supporters intentionally lying about global warming so they can get at that last bit of oil?
According to an article in Scientific American (which has frequently run ads for Shell):
The US Geological Survey estimated in 2008 that the Arctic holds up to 90 billion barrels of oil — 13% of the world’s technically recoverable supply. Exploration and production is already under way on the other side of the Arctic, off Norway and Russia, for example (see The great Arctic oil race begins). Many parts of the Arctic circle are becoming ever-more accessible thanks to improved technologies and a reduction in summer sea ice because of climate change.That 90 billion number is interesting, because the estimated world consumption of oil for 2010 is about 90 million barrels a day, according to this website and by adding up the numbers on the CIA world factbook website.
That means the entire reserve in the arctic would last the world about a thousand days, or less than three years. However, it will likely take years or decades to extract that oil, because the oil fields are remote, frigid and deep beneath the ocean. If you thought the technological challenges of drilling in the Gulf of Mexico were daunting, imagine drilling for oil when the temperature is 40 below zero and the wind is blowing 50 miles an hour. Because even though the arctic sea ice now melts almost completely in the summer, winter at the pole is still terribly harsh. And since countries like Russia, Norway, Sweden, Canada and Finland will also have claims to arctic oil the amount the United States could drill would likely last less than a single year.
Doesn't it seem a little crazy to spend that much money and risk men's lives in such a treacherous environment to extract that last little bit of oil from the ends of the earth? At this point it makes more sense to invest those resources on a renewable source that will provide us with energy for long term. We can always wait to go after that oil later, after the technology has improved.
But it makes you wonder: are Big Oil's supporters intentionally lying about global warming so they can get at that last bit of oil?
Step One: Be A Giant Dick
When 14-year-old boys sound exactly like you do and can produce radio shows and books and speeches that sound exactly like yours, maybe you should rethink the shit that comes out of your mouth. Remember the Republican debates we had this year? They applauded for the idea of letting a sick man without insurance die. Herman Cain got cheers for saying he’d electrify the border fence. They booed a gay man serving his country in the military. No wonder 14-year-old boys can do your act, you act exactly like 14-year-old boys.
There’s no ideology here. It’s just about being a dick.
Yep.
There’s no ideology here. It’s just about being a dick.
Yep.
Monday, June 25, 2012
A Victory? Really?
Today in what many are calling a victory for the Arizona immigration law, the Supreme Court ruled most the law unconstitutional:
The justices let stand for now the part of the law that requires police to check the immigration status of anyone they detain or arrest if they have “reasonable suspicion” that the person is in the country illegally. Arizona Gov. Jan Brewer (R) declared that decision, on the part of the law that had generated the most controversy, a victory.
The court ruled that Arizona cannot make it a misdemeanor for immigrants to fail to carry identification that says whether they are in the United States legally; cannot make it a crime for undocumented immigrants to apply for a job; and cannot arrest someone based solely on the suspicion that the person is in this country illegally.
The court also said the part of the law it upheld — requiring officers to check the immigration status of those they detain and reasonably believe to be illegal immigrants — could be subject to additional legal challenges once it is implemented.This means that the state of Arizona can force the police to you for your papers if they've stopped you on the street for some other reason, but the cops can't arrest you if you fail to do so, they can't arrest you for applying for a job without producing papers, and they can't arrest you just because they suspect you're here illegally.
What's the point of being able to ask for your papers if you can just say no, and there's nothing they can do if you refuse?
Basically, the Supreme Court says it's okay for Arizona to make laws that require the police to hassle people on the street. It's okay to pass laws that produce an oppressive cloud of suspicion on anyone who looks "Mexican."
The Court also left open the door for challenges the law once it goes into effect. This seems quite likely because different jurisdictions will enforce it differently, and different officers will exercise varying degrees of "reasonable suspicion," meaning that there will be selective enforcement and individuals will not all receive equal treatment under the law.
This doesn't sound like a big victory for Jan Brewer and the "centerpiece" of law. It sounds like this law was just gutted of its enforcement provisions, and will promptly be challenged when Joe Arpaio's men start harassing people for DWL (driving while Latino). And since the entire basis of it is blatantly subjective, it will probably face a skeptical Supreme Court if the state bothers to appeal it that far.
Dude, Is This My Flying Car?
The e-volo volocopter won the Lindbergh Prize for innovation in aviation in April, but I didn't hear about it until I recently read this article in Scientific American.
At first glance the thing looks crazy and more than a little dangerous with all those whirling knives. The design calls for a small 50-75 kw engine (typical of ultralight aircraft) that generates electricity for the 18 electric motors that drive the carbon-fiber propellers. There's also a lithium battery backup power supply. It steers by changing the speeds of individual rotors, using a joystick for control rather than standard helicopter rudder pedals, control stick and throttle. A computer will magically translate your directions into commands for the 18 rotors.
Using a bunch of small inexpensive rotors instead of one big rotor and tail boom drastically reduces the mass of the aircraft. Having 18 rotors provides redundancy that standard helicopters don't have—the craft should be able to fly with as few as 12 rotors, as long as they don't all fail on one side. That doesn't really comfort me, though: if you run into a tree or power line you're gonna lose all the rotors on one side.
They've done exactly one test flight as a proof of concept. The test vehicle used an exercise ball as its primary landing gear. The thing looks like something they built in a garage. But the Wright brothers built their first plane in a bicycle workshop, so more power to them.
I don't know if the volocopter will ever get off the ground, but the amazing thing is that the inventors are from Germany. Apparently not all innovation has been crushed by that over-regulated union-run health-care-for-all socialist European economy.
Bladerunner was set in LA in 2019. Maybe Philip K. Dick and Ridley Scott's bleak vision of a future with flying cars and megacorporations where Americans speak a patois of German/Spanish/Japanese/English isn't so far off.
Now, where are those basic pleasure model androids that look like Daryl Hannah?
A Sad Witness
I'm glad Nikto got up a post yesterday as I was too ripped to put anything up after my weekend in Wisconsin for my mom's retirement. Sadly, I was a witness to an old and dear friend (he's 84 years young) complete submission to the Cult.
It didn't take him long to bring up Barack X as he loves to talk politics.
"The biggest problem I have is that Barack Obama is a Muslim," he said with vehemence.
"No, he's not. He went to the same Christian church for over 20 years. Reverend Wright, remember?" I replied.
"Ah, bullshit. He wasn't even born here either. That birth certificate is fake."
I tried to convince him but the facts just bounced off.
And no, he's not an outlier.
It didn't take him long to bring up Barack X as he loves to talk politics.
"The biggest problem I have is that Barack Obama is a Muslim," he said with vehemence.
"No, he's not. He went to the same Christian church for over 20 years. Reverend Wright, remember?" I replied.
"Ah, bullshit. He wasn't even born here either. That birth certificate is fake."
I tried to convince him but the facts just bounced off.
And no, he's not an outlier.
Sunday, June 24, 2012
—All You Zombies—
The New York Times has an interesting article about the employees at Apple stores. These guys, mostly in their 20s and mostly with college degrees, make up 30,000 of Apple's 43,000 US employees and earn between $11.25 and $17.31 an hour.
It's a decent enough job, as far as retail goes. Unlike Walmart, they offer health care, 401(k) contributions, a chance to buy Apple stock and discounts on Apple products. But unlike employees at Verizon and AT&T stores, they're not on commission. They work in very hectic and stressful conditions and have no real path to career advancement. It's a dead-end job. But many Apple store employees move up to $3 million a year of expensive Apple products.
Now, some people will say that these guys don't deserve a piece of the action because Apple products sell themselves. Apple's customer base is essentially a cult who will buy anything emblazoned with the logo, no matter how expensive it is, and they will buy it over and over again each time the company releases a new version with even the most trivial enhancements just so they can say they have the latest Apple gewgaw.
As such, Apple store employees are just glorified cash registers. But the fact is, these guys do more than ring up purchases. They help you pick the right product and provide tech support: no matter how fabulous the product might look in the ads, there are always problems that require real human beings to fix.
But let's say that this is true. Apple store employees are interchangeable cogs that don't deserve a living wage because Apple customers are zombies with an insatiable hunger for brains—err, iPhones. The genius of Steve Jobs, his vision, drive and cynical manipulation of his customers' egos made Apple what it is today. Fair enough. But if so, what's good for the employee is good for the CEO.
According to the article, Apple CEO Tim Cook "received stock grants, which vest over a 10-year period, that at today’s share price would be worth more than $570 million." Yes, Apple's CEO Tim Cook is worth half a billion dollars just because Steve Jobs died. Cook did squat to earn that kind of compensation, he's just the guy who happened to sit down in Jobs' chair when the music stopped.
This is a perfect illustration of what's wrong with executive compensation in this country. Pretty much anyone could have inherited Steve Job's job and kept Apple profitable, just be staying out of the way of product designers and marketers. If Tim Cook got hit by a bus tomorrow, Apple wouldn't skip a beat.
The fact is, the guys on top of pretty much any publicly owned corporation are just as interchangeable as Apple store employees. But since interlocking corporate boards of directors (CEOs typically sit on the boards of other companies) decide compensation, for the last 50 years CEOs have been sitting around voting each other pay raises. In that time CEO pay has risen from 40 times the average employee's salary to 400 times.
But we still haven't mentioned the people who are really responsible for Apple's success: the engineers and programmers who design these products, and the workers in China who work 18-hour days at a rate of $22 a day to build them. And, lest we forget, the legions of zombies who ultimately provide all the company's profits, the customers themselves.
It's really All You Zombies out there who made Apple a success. If you think the guy at the Apple store who fixed your iPhone helped you more than Tim Cook ever did, let Apple know that Apple store employees deserve a piece of the action.
It's a decent enough job, as far as retail goes. Unlike Walmart, they offer health care, 401(k) contributions, a chance to buy Apple stock and discounts on Apple products. But unlike employees at Verizon and AT&T stores, they're not on commission. They work in very hectic and stressful conditions and have no real path to career advancement. It's a dead-end job. But many Apple store employees move up to $3 million a year of expensive Apple products.
Now, some people will say that these guys don't deserve a piece of the action because Apple products sell themselves. Apple's customer base is essentially a cult who will buy anything emblazoned with the logo, no matter how expensive it is, and they will buy it over and over again each time the company releases a new version with even the most trivial enhancements just so they can say they have the latest Apple gewgaw.
As such, Apple store employees are just glorified cash registers. But the fact is, these guys do more than ring up purchases. They help you pick the right product and provide tech support: no matter how fabulous the product might look in the ads, there are always problems that require real human beings to fix.
But let's say that this is true. Apple store employees are interchangeable cogs that don't deserve a living wage because Apple customers are zombies with an insatiable hunger for brains—err, iPhones. The genius of Steve Jobs, his vision, drive and cynical manipulation of his customers' egos made Apple what it is today. Fair enough. But if so, what's good for the employee is good for the CEO.
According to the article, Apple CEO Tim Cook "received stock grants, which vest over a 10-year period, that at today’s share price would be worth more than $570 million." Yes, Apple's CEO Tim Cook is worth half a billion dollars just because Steve Jobs died. Cook did squat to earn that kind of compensation, he's just the guy who happened to sit down in Jobs' chair when the music stopped.
This is a perfect illustration of what's wrong with executive compensation in this country. Pretty much anyone could have inherited Steve Job's job and kept Apple profitable, just be staying out of the way of product designers and marketers. If Tim Cook got hit by a bus tomorrow, Apple wouldn't skip a beat.
The fact is, the guys on top of pretty much any publicly owned corporation are just as interchangeable as Apple store employees. But since interlocking corporate boards of directors (CEOs typically sit on the boards of other companies) decide compensation, for the last 50 years CEOs have been sitting around voting each other pay raises. In that time CEO pay has risen from 40 times the average employee's salary to 400 times.
But we still haven't mentioned the people who are really responsible for Apple's success: the engineers and programmers who design these products, and the workers in China who work 18-hour days at a rate of $22 a day to build them. And, lest we forget, the legions of zombies who ultimately provide all the company's profits, the customers themselves.
It's really All You Zombies out there who made Apple a success. If you think the guy at the Apple store who fixed your iPhone helped you more than Tim Cook ever did, let Apple know that Apple store employees deserve a piece of the action.
Saturday, June 23, 2012
A Conversion and a Remembrance
Yesterday one of the staunchest opponents of gay marriage, David Blankenhorn, had a change of heart and announced his support for gay marriage in an editorial in the New York Times.
Blankenhorn was a big supporter of California's Proposition 8, and was one of only two witnesses called in the California Supreme Court trial over the anti-gay marriage proposition that had been adopted by voters (Proposition 8 was pushed hard by the Mormon Church). But his testimony in the trial has often been characterized as being personal opinion rather than expert scientific testimony, and many believed that he actively hurt the case by testifying that gay marriage would reduce the divorce rate. The ban was struck down by the court.
Blankenhorn's evolution on gay marriage is good news, and further evidence that acceptance of gays is continuing an inevitable trend. I welcome his recognition that gays should enjoy the same rights as everyone else, and that they can and have made significant contributions in science, society and even war.
Take the case of Alan Turing, who was born this day 100 years ago. Turing was a mathematician and, by many accounts, the father of the digital computer. During WWII Turing worked at Bletchley Park, Britain's codebreaking center. He was responsible for building the machine that was able to find the settings for the Nazi Enigma cipher machine, which played no small part in the Allied victory over Hitler. (By the way, today's Google doodle is a reference to the Turing Machine.)
After the war Turing went on to design one of the first stored program computers. In 1952 his home was broken into and matter-of-factly Turing mentioned to the police that he had a male lover. He was charged with "acts of gross indecency." Turing accepted chemical castration by taking female hormones. He died two years later of cyanide poisoning. At the time his death was ruled suicide, but some recent theories posit that his death was accidental (he was experimenting with cyanide in his home, as his research had expanded beyond computing into chemistry and biology). Rather than being despondent, Turing was characterized as defiant, cheerful, and humorous by acquaintances in the days before his death.
In Turing's day, a mere sixty years ago, laws across the world were used to persecute gays and lesbians. Now such discrimination is limited to countries like Iran, where they executed three men for homosexual activity last year and have sentenced four more men to hang last month. Does conservative America really want to align itself with Ahmadinejad and the ayatollahs on the issue of gays and gay marriage? Doesn't the American ideal of liberty and justice for all have a better ring?
Blankenhorn was a big supporter of California's Proposition 8, and was one of only two witnesses called in the California Supreme Court trial over the anti-gay marriage proposition that had been adopted by voters (Proposition 8 was pushed hard by the Mormon Church). But his testimony in the trial has often been characterized as being personal opinion rather than expert scientific testimony, and many believed that he actively hurt the case by testifying that gay marriage would reduce the divorce rate. The ban was struck down by the court.
Blankenhorn's evolution on gay marriage is good news, and further evidence that acceptance of gays is continuing an inevitable trend. I welcome his recognition that gays should enjoy the same rights as everyone else, and that they can and have made significant contributions in science, society and even war.
Take the case of Alan Turing, who was born this day 100 years ago. Turing was a mathematician and, by many accounts, the father of the digital computer. During WWII Turing worked at Bletchley Park, Britain's codebreaking center. He was responsible for building the machine that was able to find the settings for the Nazi Enigma cipher machine, which played no small part in the Allied victory over Hitler. (By the way, today's Google doodle is a reference to the Turing Machine.)
After the war Turing went on to design one of the first stored program computers. In 1952 his home was broken into and matter-of-factly Turing mentioned to the police that he had a male lover. He was charged with "acts of gross indecency." Turing accepted chemical castration by taking female hormones. He died two years later of cyanide poisoning. At the time his death was ruled suicide, but some recent theories posit that his death was accidental (he was experimenting with cyanide in his home, as his research had expanded beyond computing into chemistry and biology). Rather than being despondent, Turing was characterized as defiant, cheerful, and humorous by acquaintances in the days before his death.
In Turing's day, a mere sixty years ago, laws across the world were used to persecute gays and lesbians. Now such discrimination is limited to countries like Iran, where they executed three men for homosexual activity last year and have sentenced four more men to hang last month. Does conservative America really want to align itself with Ahmadinejad and the ayatollahs on the issue of gays and gay marriage? Doesn't the American ideal of liberty and justice for all have a better ring?
Huh?
Any of the commenters that migrated from Kevin's site care to explain this video?
The last four years have seen more relaxed gun laws and, honestly, the decimation of the gun control lobby so I don't get it.
The last four years have seen more relaxed gun laws and, honestly, the decimation of the gun control lobby so I don't get it.
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