Contributors

Monday, January 06, 2014

It's the Day After Tomorrow Today!

Oh, no! The Polar Vortex is everywhere! Just like the movie The Day After Tomorrow. This proves climate change isn't happening!

Well, not exactly everywhere. The temperature in Moscow, for example, was 34 degrees when I checked earlier today. In Sochi, where the Winter Olympics are going to be held, it's going to be in the 50s this week (30s in the mountains where the skiing takes place). While we've been getting socked by cold and snow, it was 36 and raining in Lillehammer, Norway, where the 1994 Winter Olympics were held. Australia's recent spring was the hottest on record and the country has been hit this year by searing heat (more than 100 degrees in the agricultural areas) and more bushfires. In December Alaska was setting record high temperatures while the rest of the United States was cold. This last November was the hottest on record world-wide.

But, the deniers say, global warming isn't happening because it's the coldest it's been in 20 years!

Exactly. Average temperatures have been rising so steadily that what used to be a typical cold snap for places like Minnesota is now the exception rather than the rule. When I was a kid most every year we'd get a week or two of -20 degree temperatures. Now we freak out when it gets that cold and cancel school.

Checking current temps on weather.com around the world is interesting. The high for the North Pole today is going to be 27 above zero! The high in Duluth, Minnesota is going to be -15. Yes, the North Pole is going to be 42 degrees warmer than Duluth.

Why is the weather so weird? Well, when the North Pole is so warm, it pushes the jet stream south, which pushes cold arctic air south into the United States. A warmer North Pole was one of the reasons Hurricane Sandy was so much bigger and veered west instead of east.

If temperatures rise a few degrees worldwide, they will increase 10 or 20 degrees at the poles, causing more melting and more weird changes to the jet stream.

A lot of people have been citing stories like this (More Record Lows than Highs in USA in 2013) as "proof" that climate change isn't happening. But they neglect to read the actual story:
Through Dec. 28, there have been 11,852 daily record lows in 2013, compared with 10,073 daily record highs, according to Walton.

A "daily" record occurs when a specific location sets a record high or low temperature for a particular day; other types of records include monthly and all-time.

Walton said that an unusually cold spring was the main factor in the "cool" 2013.

The year 2013 was a stunning turnaround from the USA's amazingly warm year of 2012, when more than 34,000 record highs were measured across the country, as compared with only about 6,600 record lows.
In 2013 there were slightly more record highs than record lows, while in 2012 there were five times as many record highs than record lows. And then there's this:
Through November, the most recent month for which national and global climate statistics are available, the world was having its 4th-warmest year on record, while the USA was seeing its 35th-warmest on record, the NCDC reports.
The upshot: global warming is global. We can expect fluctuations from one region to another, from one year to another, but the overall trend is increased temperatures, which causes more forest fires, heat waves, and paradoxically, cold snaps as the warming North Pole pushes the jet stream south.

13 comments:

Anonymous said...

But in 1974 the "Polar Vortex" was caused by Global Cooling.

Your garbage still just boils down to "Hurt humans because weather."

Mark Ward said...

http://ossfoundation.us/projects/environment/global-warming/myths/global-cooling

Fooled again, NMN...oh well...

Mark Ward said...

Here's another link...

http://mediamatters.org/research/2011/02/01/fox-news-top-10-lies-about-climate-science/175811#8

Anonymous said...

From link 1: Many claim that in the 1970's all scientists believed the earth was cooling.

From link 2: REALITY: There Was No Consensus Among Climate Scientists On Global Cooling In The 1970s.

Let's have a show of hands…

Did I use the words "all" or "consensus" anywhere? How about the article I linked to?

Voices. In. Mark's. Head.

I'm old enough to remember, Mark. The drum banging for Global Cooling was loud enough that even as a student who didn't care about politics, I couldn't avoid hearing about it. If Wikipedia is good enough for you

My link was a direct comparison of Time then vs. Time now.

Mark Ward said...

From your link...

This hypothesis had little support in the scientific community, but gained temporary popular attention due to a combination of a slight downward trend of temperatures from the 1940s to the early 1970s and press reports that did not accurately reflect the full scope of the scientific climate literature, i.e., a larger and faster-growing body of literature projecting future warming due to greenhouse gas emissions.

Is there scientific consensus today on climate change? Yes. Yes there is.

You can't claim to be about facts, logic and the scientific method and then turn around and ignore the settled science of climate change just because you are 12 and can't stand it when Democrats are right about something.

Anonymous said...

Is there scientific consensus today on climate change? Yes. Yes there is.

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What. a. maroon.

Mark Ward said...

http://climate.nasa.gov/scientific-consensus

http://www.skepticalscience.com/global-warming-scientific-consensus.htm

Try again, NMN. This time try to respond in a way that is slightly more mature than a 7th grader:)


Anonymous said...

No wonder you are a Progressive, M. You are so easily duped.

Try: http://wattsupwiththat.com/2014/01/06/the-original-temperatures-project/

There probably was a consensus on false data or in other words, Junk Science. And even with all the admitted lies and debunking of this 'consensus' as actual scrutiny is brought to bear, you and others flail and cling to it. What a mental giant you are!

Anonymous said...

his time try to respond in a way that is slightly more mature than a 7th grader:)

Mark, you have been shown REPEATEDLY over the last several years that there is no scientific consensus on Global Warming, let alone that it's caused by humans. You've been shown often enough that it should be sinking through even your thick skull. And to top it all off, in the past couple of weeks we've had the saga of a global warming team intending to show that sea ice is disappearing get trapped by record thick ice, not once, but TWICE!

Yet your response was the same old "it is that way because I wish it to be that way" in total denial of the facts. With such a two-year old baby wail, no deeper response is possible.

Anonymous said...

You should also note that the media and scientists have completely stopped using AGW as a term which is in itself a tell.

Mark Ward said...

Apparently neither one of you read the links about climate change myths. The "junk science" one is in there too. Oh well. It really doesn't matter. The rest of the work is moving on without you. You can take comfort in the fact that you can still play make believe in bubble land.

Couple points I forgot to mention above...

I find the consensus in Bubble Land hilarious. You guys all say the exact same thing and think the same. Conformity from "rugged individulists"...love it!

And what's that plot again with climate change? World control?

Mark Ward said...

you have been shown REPEATEDLY over the last several years that there is no scientific consensus on Global Warming, let alone that it's caused by humans.

Advanced level, since you are a "scientific man"

http://www.skepticalscience.com/global-warming-scientific-consensus-advanced.htm

consensus on false data or in other words, Junk Science

http://www.skepticalscience.com/climate-models-intermediate.htm

Anonymous said...

Yep, Mark has clearly closed his bubble.