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Tuesday, March 11, 2014

FL-13 Special Election

The special election being held today in Florida's 13th Congressional District is being touted as a "bellwether" for the 2014 mid term elections and a referendum on the ACA. Haven't we seen this movie before?

Here is what I predict will happen. If Alex Sink wins, there will be a little bluster and chest thumping from Democrats about how this means the public has embraced the ACA and the GOP should finally just shut up about it. They will also say that this means the 2014 elections aren't a slam dunk for the Republicans. This will all be quickly forgotten as the president won this district in 2008 and 2012 and Sink is expected to win.

If David Jolly wins, the right wing blogsphere will explode with howls of "I told you sos" and high pitched and overly excited voices about how this spells doom for the president in the fall. The left wing media will hand wring themselves to death and pray every night to their Rachel Maddow doll that somehow, some way, things won't be so bad this November and the president will save the day.

All of this prognostication (on both sides) when there aren't even candidates officially set yet in nearly all of the elections. Wow!

4 comments:

GuardDuck said...

All of this prognostication (on both sides) when there aren't even candidates officially set yet in nearly all of the elections. Wow!

This coming from the guy that has foretold the impending demise of the GOP. Wow!


Oh btw, Jolly won.

Juris Imprudent said...

In Alex Sink, Democrats had a better-funded, well-known nominee who ran a strong campaign against a little-known, second- or third-tier Republican who ran an often wobbly race in a district Barack Obama won twice. Outside Republican groups — much more so than the under-funded Jolly campaign — hung the Affordable Care Act and President Obama on Sink.

It worked.


http://www.tampabay.com/news/politics/local/adam-c-smith-column-david-jolly-victory-spells-trouble-for-democrats/2169745

Yep, the GOP is in big trouble!

Mark Ward said...

http://www.theblaze.com/stories/2014/02/13/rand-pauls-prediction-about-future-presidential-elections-may-frighten-half-the-country/

GuardDuck said...

Of course what's funny is that Paul's version of transforming the party would take it in almost the opposite direction than what you claim.

Also, Paul hasn't said prognosticating the future elections is folly as you just did.....