Did anyone else know that the Republicans had a primary on Tuesday? With all the hubbub on the Democratic side, 807,000 Republicans turned out to vote in a primary that won't make any difference. Slight hitch, though, for John McCain.....215,000 of them voted for either Mike Huckabee or Ron Paul.
If a quarter of the the Republican base vanishes in the general election, either by staying home, voting for the Democrat, or voting independent, you can rest assured that however "weakened" the Democratic candidate is from the primary, they are going to slaughter McCain. All you have to do to see that I am right is look at the voter registration, state by state, and see that the Democrats outnumber the Republicans 4-1 in some cases.
Smells like the beginning of a whole lot of dead elephants.......
1 comment:
Good observation, Markadelphia.
If you add together voters from the right who dislike McCain, voters from the left who are sickened by Clinton and Obama*, and the smattering of voters who throw their vote away every year, you would end up with a pretty hefty base for a strong third-party candidate. Too bad there isn't one.
Looks to me like neither party is overly satisfied with the horse they have in the race.
* according to polls on CNN this past week, that number could be as high as 20% as well, which actually surprises me. I don't typically put a great deal of faith in those polls, and I'm unfairly extrapolating the results from PA polling onto the entire country, but even if those numbers are in the ballpark, 1/5 of people who voted for Clinton over Obama and 1/5 of people who voted for Obama over Clinton would not vote for the other candidate should that person be the nominee in the general election. That's pretty significant desertion before the nominee is even decided.
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