"There is a natural human tendency to believe that any major development, no matter how long before an election, will be the last important influence on said election. This theory is fine in the last days before an election, but with almost a year to go, it is pretty unlikely that the national political situation will suddenly become static for well over 300 days." (Charlie Cook)
Anyone that tells you they know for certain what the outcome of the 2014 election is going to be is simply engaging in wishful thinking...
8 comments:
Anyone that tells you they know for certain what the outcome of the 2014 election is going to be is simply engaging in wishful thinking...
Except for you of course. You've been telling us, 'for certain', the outcome of all the future elections.
Yep, and the TeaParty wouldn't have any effect and then Occupy was going to lead a leftie counter trend.
How DID that all work out again?
http://www.politico.com/2012-election/map/#/President/2012/
332-206
Senate net gain +2
House net gain +12
How did it work out, juris? Don't forget to check those ballot measures either.
Mark (in the past): 'I know what the results of future elections will be!'
Mark (today): "Anyone that tells you they know for certain what the outcome of the 2014 election is going to be is simply engaging in wishful thinking... "
To Mark (today): 'Dude, you're contradicting yourself.'
Mark (today): 'But I was right!!!!!!!'
Who is the majority party in the House M? Occupy was going to galvanize the untapped left of center majority to upend the Tea Party reactionaries - remember?
Guard Duck, show me where I wrote that I know exactly what the results of the 2014 election will be. While you are at it, tell me how I did on the 2012 election. I was wrong about the 2010 election.
juris, I don't think you are taking into account how much the Occupy movement's semantics seeped into our culture. Romney lost largely because of his "47 percent" remark, remember? A remark, I might add, that echoes the Tea Party ideology. Ironic, because most of the Tea Party is part of that 47 percent as they are old and get government checks. Discussions of wealth inequality by not only award winning economists but the 1 percent themselves are prevalent. I don't think you truly realize how things are changing and for the better.
I will make this prediction, though. Unless the Right moderates and changes, the GOP as we know it will die as a party. Demographics are not on their side.
show me where I wrote
the GOP ... will die as a party
Which you have said before and before and before.....
tell me how I did on the 2012 election
Anyone that tells you they know for certain what the outcome of the ...election is going to be is simply engaging in wishful thinking...
Are you contradicting yourself or are you petulantly yelling 'But I was right!!!!'?
Then I want to analyse this gem: "I will make this prediction, though. Unless the Right moderates and changes, the GOP as we know it will die as a party. Demographics are not on their side.
So, let me get this straight. Unless the GOP as we know it, changes to something as we don't know it, it will cease to exist as we know it. In what world does that even make sense? Unless black changes to white, black as we know it will stop being black.
Oh, I know what you're trying to say. Unless the GOP becomes more like the Dems then the GOP won't exist anymore. But if the GOP becomes more like the Dems then it won't actually be the GOP anymore..... sheesh.
Unless the Right moderates and changes
That is, become even more Democrat-lite.
There isn't much chance of your wishes coming true.
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