A recent article from Politico has answered a question I have been mulling over the last few weeks. Why haven't any folks in the GOP announced their candidacy? Aside from enjoying the mouth foaming without any real questions put to them or consequences for their ideas, the answer is obvious: Barack Obama is going to be tough to beat.
He's hovering around 47 percent approval now and that's with a still crappy economy. If it improves or if he bombs someone, his ratings will go above 50 percent and then it's more or less a done deal. With all the trappings of being in office, he has the advantage right now and the other candidates aren't necessarily prepared to go up against him. 2016 is looking mighty inviting with with its wide open arena and all. Who are the Democrats going to put up anyway? Hillary? She actually might be their best bet and if I were Mitt Romney, I'd wait. He has the best chance of being president and if he tries now it might ruin his chances in 2016.
I'm betting the 2012 pool from the GOP is pretty weak. We'll see Gingrich, Santorum, Huckabee and maybe even Bachmann. But the guys with the real chance to win like Romney, Daniels or Thune might wait it out. At least, they'd be smart to do so.
1 comment:
Well, I suppose if I were going to run, I'd wait a while longer too. The more time you are exposed, the bigger the chance that you will say something really stupid (see Biden, Joe).
Right at this moment, I don't see a Republican worth even the slightest consideration. Maybe Gary Johnson, but he's as likely to run as a Libertarian as a Republican (and more likely to be nominated as the former).
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