| General Election: Romney vs. Obama | National Journal | Obama 47, Romney 47 | Tie |
| General Election: Romney vs. Obama | Gallup Tracking | Obama 49, Romney 45 | Obama +4 |
| General Election: Romney vs. Obama | Rasmussen Tracking | Obama 49, Romney 47 | Obama +2 |
| General Election: Romney vs. Obama | NPR | Obama 51, Romney 44 | Obama +7 |
| Florida: Romney vs. Obama | NBC/WSJ/Marist | Obama 47, Romney 46 | Obama +1 |
| Virginia: Romney vs. Obama | NBC/WSJ/Marist | Obama 48, Romney 46 | Obama +2 |
| Ohio: Romney vs. Obama | NBC/WSJ/Marist | Obama 51, Romney 43 | Obama +8 |
| North Carolina: Romney vs. Obama | Rasmussen Reports | Romney 51, Obama 47 | Romney +4 |
| Texas: Romney vs. Obama | Texas Lyceum | Romney 58, Obama 39 | Romney +19 |
| Virginia Senate - Allen vs. Kaine | NBC/WSJ/Marist | Kaine 49, Allen 44 | Kaine +5 |
| Ohio Senate - Mandel vs. Brown | NBC/WSJ/Marist | Brown 50, Mandel 41 | Brown +9 |
| Florida Senate - Mack vs. Nelson | NBC/WSJ/Marist | Nelson 52, Mack 41 | Nelson +11 |
| Missouri Senate - Akin vs. McCaskill | Rasmussen Reports | McCaskill 51, Akin 45 | McCaskill +6 |
| Texas Senate - Cruz vs. Sadler | Texas Lyceum | Cruz 50, Sadler 24 | Cruz +26 |
| Generic Congressional Vote | NPR | Republicans 45, Democrats 48 | Democrats +3 |
| President Obama Job Approval | Gallup | Approve 50, Disapprove 44 | Approve +6 |
| President Obama Job Approval | NPR | Approve 50, Disapprove 46 | Approve +4 |
| President Obama Job Approval | Rasmussen Reports | Approve 49, Disapprove 50 | Disapprove +1 |
| Direction of Country | NPR | Right Direction 39, Wrong Track 55 | Wrong Track +16 |
Couple things to note here on the day of the first debate. Ohio looks like it's gone for Romney. We have yet another poll in which the president is up in the high single digits. How can Romney get to 270 without it? He'd have to take all of the remaining swing states (one of which is now Missouri thanks to Todd Akin) and bring Wisconsin back to his side as well. It just doesn't seem very likely.
The NBC poll, btw, did not oversample Democrats.
Rasmussen has the president up 2 points while Gallup has him up 4 overall. Remember that Rasmussen does not poll cel phone users so the president's lead is likely wider than 2 points as many young people have cel phones but no land line.
At this point, the Senate is all but gone for the GOP. Quite a difference from just a few months ago when I predicted that the Democrats would be lucky to get a tie at 50-50. If the election were held today, I'd say the Democrats would net a +1 or a +2.
The same, however, can't be said for the House. The overly optimistic predictions that the Democrats will take back the House are silly. At this point, I'd say they'll net +15, putting the spread at 227 GOP-208 Democrat.
8 comments:
Funny how you don't mention the "wrong track" being +16. Under most circumstances that would bode ill for the incumbent President, though Romney is an unusually weak opponent.
You claimed the Voter ID law was racist because Viviette Applewhite couldn't get a valid ID.
Well guess what? You were wrong. Again.
The Jim Crow Lie Debunked Again
However, the opponents of voter ID did gain some sympathy with both the judge and the public by highlighting the plight of the lead plaintiff in the suit, 93-year-old Viviette Applewhite. Ms. Applewhite, who once marched with Martin Luther King Jr., didn’t have a valid photo ID or for some reason, a Social Security card, and the name on her birth certificate didn’t match the one on other documents so in theory she lacked the proof needed to get the free photo ID the state is offering to non-drivers who want to vote. Ms. Applewhite’s predicament seem to bolster the argument that voter ID was a new version of segregationist “Jim Crow” laws. That was enough to get her picture on the front page of the New York Times last week in an article intended to bolster voter ID opponents case.
But it turns out the state machinery for helping such exceptional cases is not, as Democrats claimed, devoted to suppressing the vote. Last week, Ms. Applewhite, accompanied by a reporter for the Philadelphia Inquirer showed up at Department of Motor Vehicles office in the city and asked for a photo ID. She got one with no fuss and without any evidence that the clerks there had any idea who she was (perhaps civil service employees are too busy there to read the Times or other newspapers).
Are you capable of learning. Can you admit that you are wrong? Or will your typical belligerent ignorance remain in play?
I think it takes a lot of brass to be talking about voter fraud these days, Noni:)
I'm glad that she got an ID without any fuss. Of course, now that the law has been delayed until after the election, it really doesn't matter, though.
At the end of the day, all these games aren't going to matter. Your side is losing the demographics war and, unless you change, you will continue to lose election after election. That's going to be a tough nut to crack considering that, at the core of your ideology, compromise is seen as a weakness and you are undeterred by new information/unmoved by facts.
Severe Xenophobia and a pathological hatred of the US government simply aren't going to cut it anymore with the emerging majority of this country.
at the core of your ideology, compromise is seen as a weakness and you are undeterred by new information/unmoved by facts
And the core of your ideology is a inability to recognize facts and considering compromise as only the other side giving in to your position.
You can have whatever opinion you like, GD, but you can't have your own facts. I'm happy to change my mind if you can offer me unbiased and critical solutions to the problems our nation currently faces.
Logically, that means that there will be some solutions that are in direct contradiction to one's ideology. Who do you think is going to handle that better-me or you?
I'm happy to change my mind
No you are not. You already think that your opinion is correct, you think that any 'solution' that conflicts with your ideology is biased to begin with.
Logically
Something you are not acquainted with....
Logically, that means that there will be some solutions that are in direct contradiction to one's ideology.
That is not a logically sound proposition.
Severe Xenophobia and a pathological hatred of the US government simply aren't going to cut it anymore with the emerging majority of this country.
I would rather demand better of the US govt then do as you do and quiver with joy at whatever happens when your party has power and bitch and moan ceaselessly when the others are in charge. You are fucking pissant partisan hack - and I still think you capable of more than that. That part is truly inexplicable to me.
Yep, typical belligerent ignorance remains in play. Watch those goalposts dance.
Betcha it does over this too:
Undecided voters in focus group swing sharply toward Romney; Frank Luntz: ‘I’ve never seen anything like this’; CBS post-debate poll shows big win for Romney
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