Contributors

Monday, October 22, 2012

The Latest Polls

I haven't done a post with polls lately as I have been out of town and simply scheduled a bunch ahead of time. Here is where we are at.

General Election: Romney vs. ObamaNBC News/Wall St. JrnlObama 47, Romney 47Tie
General Election: Romney vs. ObamaGallup TrackingObama 45, Romney 52Romney +7
General Election: Romney vs. ObamaRasmussen TrackingObama 47, Romney 49Romney +2
General Election: Romney vs. ObamaIBD/TIPP TrackingObama 48, Romney 42Obama +6
Florida: Romney vs. ObamaPPP (D)Romney 48, Obama 47Romney +1


President Obama Job ApprovalNBC News/Wall St. JrnlApprove 49, Disapprove 48Approve +1
President Obama Job ApprovalGallupApprove 49, Disapprove 45Approve +4
President Obama Job ApprovalRasmussen ReportsApprove 49, Disapprove 51Disapprove +2
Direction of CountryNBC News/Wall St. JrnlRight Direction 41, Wrong Track 53Wrong Track +12


Ohio: Romney vs. ObamaPPP (D)Obama 49, Romney 48Obama +1
Ohio: Romney vs. ObamaGravis MarketingObama 47, Romney 47Tie
Florida: Romney vs. ObamaSurveyUSARomney 46, Obama 47Obama +1

Ohio: Romney vs. ObamaFOX NewsObama 46, Romney 43Obama +3
Virginia: Romney vs. ObamaRasmussen ReportsRomney 50, Obama 47Romney +3



It's hard to make sense of these polls with one showing Romney up 7 and the other showing Obama up six. The best thing to do is take the average of all the polls and that's probably where we are at. At least with the national polls, the race is a tie.

But the swing states are where this election are going to be won or lost and those states still favor the president. Andy over at Electoral-Vote.com has the count at 286-235 with 17 at tie (13 for Virginia and 4 for New Hampshire). I think New Hampshire will go for the president which makes it 290-235. Perhaps I'm being premature but it looks like Florida is going to go for Romney. Virginia? It's an exact tie at this point.

The other thing to take note of is how the approval ratings for the president haven't really changed. What does that mean?

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